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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

Model Outputs

1996-1997
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1208 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1158 (#63) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +127 elo More → 1071 (#66) HCA +127 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More → +9.2 (#62) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.9 More → +9.5 (#57) HCA +3.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.712 (#62) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.1 More → 0.836 (#57) AdjNet +14.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.2 More → 0.838 (#57) AdjNet +14.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 75.1 More → 0.692 (#58) AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 75.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.0 | AdjD 74.4 More → 0.645 (#52) AdjO 81.0 | AdjD 74.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.734 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.726 (#55) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 35 More → 1181 (#54) RD 97 | GP 35

1997 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1996-11-23 vs McNeese W 93 - 74
1996-11-25 vs Centenary (LA) W 118 - 87
1996-11-29 N Illinois L 67 - 73
1996-11-30 N Montana State W 89 - 76
1996-12-01 N Auburn W 86 - 66
1996-12-07 vs Louisiana Tech W 79 - 76
1996-12-12 vs Boston University W 81 - 80
1996-12-14 vs Texas Tech W 93 - 89
1996-12-23 vs UT Arlington W 107 - 76
1996-12-27 N Virginia Commonwealth L 81 - 94
1996-12-28 N Sam Houston W 88 - 66
1996-12-30 vs Purdue W 97 - 69
1997-01-03 vs Liberty W 80 - 68
1997-01-06 vs Nevada–Las Vegas L 91 - 98
1997-01-09 @ New Mexico L 64 - 79
1997-01-11 @ UTEP L 66 - 73
1997-01-16 vs Brigham Young W 101 - 61
1997-01-18 vs Utah L 77 - 81
1997-01-25 @ Southern Methodist W 87 - 63
1997-01-30 @ Rice L 80 - 82
1997-02-01 @ Tulsa L 79 - 96
1997-02-06 vs UTEP W 77 - 55
1997-02-08 vs New Mexico W 80 - 59
1997-02-13 @ Brigham Young W 92 - 80
1997-02-15 @ Utah L 91 - 94
1997-02-19 vs Southern Methodist W 79 - 71
1997-02-22 @ Nevada–Las Vegas L 72 - 82
1997-02-27 vs Tulsa L 84 - 128
1997-03-01 vs Rice W 85 - 79
1997-03-04 N Wyoming W 72 - 61
1997-03-06 N Fresno State W 106 - 81
1997-03-07 N Tulsa W 64 - 59
1997-03-08 N Utah L 68 - 89
1997-03-12 vs UAB W 85 - 62
1997-03-18 @ Notre Dame L 72 - 82

1997 Roster

No roster data available for this season.