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TCU Horned Frogs

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History

2015 Team Stats (7 games)

66.4
PPG
75.6
Opp
-9.1
Margin
38.8%
FG%
32.6%
3P%
81.3%
FT%
32.0
RPG
10.3
APG
15.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.1
Adj PPG
64.6
Adj Opp PPG
#84
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1305 (#42) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1144 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +86 elo More โ†’ 1028 (#134) HCA +86 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +8.4 (#83) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +8.9 (#78) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.503 (#170) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.3 More โ†’ 0.839 (#76) AdjNet +14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.6 More โ†’ 0.844 (#76) AdjNet +14.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 64.6 More โ†’ 0.663 (#84) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 64.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.588 (#99) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.720 (#75) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.706 (#77) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1156 (#68) RD 111 | GP 32

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 87 - 64
2014-11-16 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 53 - 62
2014-11-19 vs SMU Mustangs W 73 - 63
2014-11-22 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 69 - 52
2014-11-28 vs Colorado State Rams L 62 - 76
2014-11-29 @ Missouri State Lady Bears W 82 - 68
2014-12-07 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 71 - 82
2014-12-11 vs Lamar Cardinals W 72 - 68
2014-12-13 vs Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers W 56 - 50
2014-12-21 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 79 - 55
2014-12-30 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 78 - 56
2015-01-04 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 37 - 52
2015-01-07 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 86 - 84
2015-01-10 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 70 - 66
2015-01-14 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 80 - 63
2015-01-17 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 81 - 97
2015-01-21 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 62 - 80
2015-01-24 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 71 - 62
2015-01-27 vs Baylor Bears L 67 - 89
2015-02-01 vs Texas Longhorns W 64 - 59
2015-02-04 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 71 - 76
2015-02-08 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 71 - 60
2015-02-11 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 79 - 93
2015-02-14 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 54 - 77
2015-02-17 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 73 - 67
2015-02-21 @ Baylor Bears L 75 - 91
2015-02-24 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 73 - 63
2015-02-28 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 67 - 47
2015-03-03 @ Texas Longhorns L 45 - 79
2015-03-07 vs Texas Longhorns L 61 - 67
2015-03-19 vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks W 85 - 80
2015-03-22 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles L 73 - 77

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Z. Medley Z. Medley G 7 32.6 13.6 1.9 4.3 0.9 0.0 3.1 11.9 5.6 32 24 1.3 1.8 37.3 25.0 100.0 3.04 51.0 43.4
C. Prince C. Prince F 7 32.3 11.0 4.7 1.3 3.1 0.9 1.4 7.4 12.1 52 25 2.1 2.8 40.4 42.9 96.3 4.57 60.3 49.0
V. Hamilton V. Hamilton G 7 27.7 10.9 4.7 0.6 2.0 0.0 1.1 10.0 7.0 -2 25 -0.1 -0.1 48.6 0 72.7 0.46 50.8 48.6
N. Ventress N. Ventress G 7 34.1 10.7 4.3 1.6 1.0 0.3 2.1 9.1 6.6 -40 25 -1.6 -2.1 40.6 50.0 75.0 -2.33 54.1 51.6
D. Breaux D. Breaux G 7 25.1 7.4 4.4 1.7 1.4 0.1 2.9 7.9 4.4 43 25 1.7 3.0 34.5 23.5 76.9 1.37 42.8 38.2
K. Bradshaw K. Bradshaw C 6 13.5 4.7 3.3 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.7 3.3 6.0 14 22 0.6 3.0 45.0 0 62.5 1.67 51.8 45.0
J. Butts J. Butts G 7 14.1 4.3 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.1 27 25 1.1 3.1 37.0 40.0 54.5 0.88 47.1 44.4
A. Alix A. Alix G 7 8.9 3.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.1 -0.1 -27 19 -1.4 -6.4 27.6 15.4 60.0 -1.33 33.7 31.0
T. Manning-Drake T. Manning-Drake F 2 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -0.5 -3 10 -0.3 -3.2 50.0 0 50.0 -3.03 52.1 50.0
A. Ndao A. Ndao F 3 10.7 1.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.0 2.0 7 9 0.8 2.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.41 42.0 0.0
C. Diaz C. Diaz F 5 5.4 0.4 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.2 16 21 0.8 4.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.28 34.7 0.0
C. Willie C. Willie C 5 5.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 -0.4 20 16 1.2 8.2 0.0 0 100.0 0.86 25.8 0.0
S. Coleman S. Coleman G 4 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -6 12 -0.5 -7.8 0 0 0 -2.34 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG