TCU Horned Frogs
2015 Team Stats (7 games)
66.4
PPG
75.6
Opp
-9.1
Margin
38.8%
FG%
32.6%
3P%
81.3%
FT%
32.0
RPG
10.3
APG
15.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.1
Adj PPG
64.6
Adj Opp PPG
#84
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2014-2015
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1305 (#42) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1144 (#79) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1028 (#134) | HCA +86 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +8.4 (#83) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +8.9 (#78) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.503 (#170) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.839 (#76) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.844 (#76) | AdjNet +14.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.663 (#84) | AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 64.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.588 (#99) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.720 (#75) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.706 (#77) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1156 (#68) | RD 111 | GP 32 |
2015 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-14 | vs | Houston Christian Huskies | W | 87 - 64 |
| 2014-11-16 | @ | Georgia Lady Bulldogs | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2014-11-19 | vs | SMU Mustangs | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2014-11-22 | vs | Texas Southern Tigers | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2014-11-28 | vs | Colorado State Rams | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2014-11-29 | @ | Missouri State Lady Bears | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2014-12-07 | vs | Texas A&M Aggies | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2014-12-11 | vs | Lamar Cardinals | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2014-12-13 | vs | Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers | W | 56 - 50 |
| 2014-12-21 | vs | Sam Houston Bearkats | W | 79 - 55 |
| 2014-12-30 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | W | 78 - 56 |
| 2015-01-04 | @ | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | L | 37 - 52 |
| 2015-01-07 | vs | Iowa State Cyclones | W | 86 - 84 |
| 2015-01-10 | vs | Oklahoma State Cowgirls | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2015-01-14 | @ | Kansas Jayhawks | W | 80 - 63 |
| 2015-01-17 | vs | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 81 - 97 |
| 2015-01-21 | @ | Iowa State Cyclones | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2015-01-24 | @ | Oklahoma State Cowgirls | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2015-01-27 | vs | Baylor Bears | L | 67 - 89 |
| 2015-02-01 | vs | Texas Longhorns | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2015-02-04 | @ | West Virginia Mountaineers | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2015-02-08 | vs | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2015-02-11 | @ | Kansas State Wildcats | L | 79 - 93 |
| 2015-02-14 | @ | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 54 - 77 |
| 2015-02-17 | vs | Kansas Jayhawks | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2015-02-21 | @ | Baylor Bears | L | 75 - 91 |
| 2015-02-24 | vs | West Virginia Mountaineers | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2015-02-28 | vs | Kansas State Wildcats | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2015-03-03 | @ | Texas Longhorns | L | 45 - 79 |
| 2015-03-07 | vs | Texas Longhorns | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2015-03-19 | vs | Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | W | 85 - 80 |
| 2015-03-22 | @ | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | L | 73 - 77 |
2015 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z. Medley
|
G | 7 | 32.6 | 13.6 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 32 | 24 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 37.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 3.04 | 51.0 | 43.4 |
C. Prince
|
F | 7 | 32.3 | 11.0 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 7.4 | 12.1 | 52 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 40.4 | 42.9 | 96.3 | 4.57 | 60.3 | 49.0 |
V. Hamilton
|
G | 7 | 27.7 | 10.9 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -2 | 25 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 48.6 | 0 | 72.7 | 0.46 | 50.8 | 48.6 |
N. Ventress
|
G | 7 | 34.1 | 10.7 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 6.6 | -40 | 25 | -1.6 | -2.1 | 40.6 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -2.33 | 54.1 | 51.6 |
D. Breaux
|
G | 7 | 25.1 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 43 | 25 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 34.5 | 23.5 | 76.9 | 1.37 | 42.8 | 38.2 |
K. Bradshaw
|
C | 6 | 13.5 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 14 | 22 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 0 | 62.5 | 1.67 | 51.8 | 45.0 |
J. Butts
|
G | 7 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 27 | 25 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 37.0 | 40.0 | 54.5 | 0.88 | 47.1 | 44.4 |
A. Alix
|
G | 7 | 8.9 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 4.1 | -0.1 | -27 | 19 | -1.4 | -6.4 | 27.6 | 15.4 | 60.0 | -1.33 | 33.7 | 31.0 |
T. Manning-Drake
|
F | 2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -3 | 10 | -0.3 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.03 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
A. Ndao
|
F | 3 | 10.7 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7 | 9 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.41 | 42.0 | 0.0 |
C. Diaz
|
F | 5 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 16 | 21 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.28 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
C. Willie
|
C | 5 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 20 | 16 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.86 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
S. Coleman
|
G | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -6 | 12 | -0.5 | -7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.34 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG