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TCU Horned Frogs

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Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History

2014 Team Stats (10 games)

56.3
PPG
66.2
Opp
-9.9
Margin
36.0%
FG%
29.0%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
31.1
RPG
8.8
APG
12.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.8
Adj PPG
52.6
Adj Opp PPG
#47
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1278 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1129 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +88 elo More → 999 (#174) HCA +88 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +14.4 (#47) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +13.7 (#45) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.701 (#88) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.5 More → 0.923 (#43) AdjNet +21.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.9 More → 0.926 (#43) AdjNet +21.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 52.6 More → 0.768 (#47) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 52.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 56.9 More → 0.639 (#71) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 56.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.782 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.760 (#59) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 33 More → 1131 (#79) RD 122 | GP 33

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-09 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 86 - 47
2013-11-13 @ SMU Mustangs L 68 - 72
2013-11-16 vs Texas State Bobcats W 63 - 50
2013-11-18 vs Grambling Lady Tigers W 95 - 64
2013-11-26 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 68 - 47
2013-11-27 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 52 - 57
2013-11-28 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 68 - 75
2013-12-04 vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks W 60 - 52
2013-12-15 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 73 - 47
2013-12-18 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 82 - 55
2013-12-20 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 78 - 46
2013-12-28 vs Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers W 76 - 47
2014-01-02 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 49 - 71
2014-01-05 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 65 - 54
2014-01-08 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 52 - 50
2014-01-11 @ Baylor Bears L 46 - 80
2014-01-14 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 53 - 65
2014-01-19 vs Texas Longhorns W 54 - 48
2014-01-25 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 52 - 63
2014-01-29 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 48 - 49
2014-02-01 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 62 - 66
2014-02-05 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 61 - 60
2014-02-08 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 72 - 57
2014-02-12 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 53 - 62
2014-02-16 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 57 - 61
2014-02-19 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 64 - 44
2014-02-22 vs Baylor Bears L 46 - 69
2014-02-25 @ Texas Longhorns L 50 - 62
2014-03-01 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 76 - 66
2014-03-03 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 51 - 46
2014-03-07 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 75 - 59
2014-03-08 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 59 - 67
2014-03-19 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 71 - 78

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Z. Medley Z. Medley G 10 35.4 18.3 3.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 3.3 16.5 5.8 135 27 5.0 6.4 35.8 31.0 88.6 4.92 49.6 43.6
N. Ventress N. Ventress G 9 33.0 10.7 3.6 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.2 10.1 4.9 97 26 3.7 5.0 40.7 26.8 91.7 2.0 49.9 46.7
C. Prince C. Prince F 10 27.0 7.5 3.5 0.3 2.1 0.1 1.4 7.3 4.8 98 26 3.8 7.1 35.6 35.3 70.8 3.12 44.9 39.7
J. Butts J. Butts G 4 19.5 6.2 3.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.5 34 15 2.3 7.3 47.1 0.0 52.9 0.06 51.1 47.1
D. Breaux D. Breaux G 10 26.6 6.1 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.4 2.1 6.8 3.1 104 27 3.9 6.9 29.4 24.1 82.4 1.57 40.4 34.6
L. Lovings L. Lovings C 10 29.0 5.3 7.2 0.3 1.3 4.1 0.9 4.8 12.5 161 26 6.2 9.0 45.8 0 37.5 4.78 45.3 45.8
V. Hamilton V. Hamilton G 10 19.0 2.5 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 5.1 0.6 15 27 0.6 1.1 19.6 0 71.4 -3.46 23.1 19.6
K. Bradshaw K. Bradshaw C 10 12.4 2.2 1.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 1.9 2.8 -30 27 -1.1 -3.5 47.4 0 57.1 -4.96 49.8 47.4
C. Diaz C. Diaz F 9 11.1 2.0 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.9 1.8 2.7 71 26 2.7 9.9 50.0 0 50.0 1.84 50.7 50.0
M. Henson M. Henson G 7 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 -0.1 -2 15 -0.1 -1.3 16.7 33.3 50.0 -1.95 32.2 25.0
A. Yancey A. Yancey G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 1 9 0.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0 -1.92 0.0 0.0
C. Willie C. Willie C 4 2.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 -4 12 -0.3 -2.6 0 0 0 -1.8 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG