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TCU Horned Frogs

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History

2013 Team Stats (8 games)

56.8
PPG
73.5
Opp
-16.8
Margin
34.4%
FG%
30.9%
3P%
63.5%
FT%
29.8
RPG
13.0
APG
14.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.4
Adj PPG
57.5
Adj Opp PPG
#102
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1050 (#131) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 968 (#189) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 909 (#285) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +6.1 (#96) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +8.5 (#76) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.247 (#252) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.3 More โ†’ 0.766 (#94) AdjNet +10.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.7 More โ†’ 0.775 (#93) AdjNet +10.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 57.5 More โ†’ 0.610 (#102) AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 57.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 58.3 More โ†’ 0.511 (#143) AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 58.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.591 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.571 (#124) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 30 More โ†’ 962 (#195) RD 158 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-14 vs Charlotte 49ers L 68 - 82
2012-11-16 vs UCF Knights W 61 - 55
2012-11-25 @ Texas State Bobcats L 80 - 91
2012-11-28 vs SMU Mustangs W 76 - 70
2012-12-02 vs Houston Cougars W 60 - 51
2012-12-05 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 73 - 64
2012-12-08 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 47 - 68
2012-12-16 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 67 - 60
2012-12-19 vs Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 59 - 72
2012-12-22 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 73 - 37
2012-12-29 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 69 - 38
2013-01-02 vs Baylor Bears L 35 - 74
2013-01-05 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 58 - 59
2013-01-09 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 79 - 85
2013-01-12 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 52 - 68
2013-01-15 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 50 - 58
2013-01-19 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 54 - 57
2013-01-27 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 42 - 53
2013-01-30 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 53 - 74
2013-02-02 vs Texas Longhorns L 56 - 61
2013-02-05 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 59 - 76
2013-02-09 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 46 - 64
2013-02-13 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 75 - 76
2013-02-16 @ Baylor Bears L 45 - 78
2013-02-20 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 64 - 63
2013-02-23 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 56 - 66
2013-02-26 @ Texas Longhorns L 46 - 59
2013-03-02 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 61 - 58
2013-03-05 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 67 - 74
2013-03-08 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 61 - 83

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Ventress N. Ventress G 8 0.0 11.4 3.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 2.8 10.5 3.5 -136 26 -5.2 -7.3 32.1 37.8 85.2 -3.2 47.5 40.5
Z. Medley Z. Medley G 8 0.0 9.8 2.6 6.1 0.9 0.0 3.2 11.4 4.8 -75 26 -2.9 -3.7 28.6 28.8 69.2 2.1 40.3 37.9
L. Lovings L. Lovings C 8 0.0 6.9 7.6 0.6 1.2 2.8 1.1 6.5 11.5 6 26 0.2 0.3 50.0 0 33.3 5.93 49.1 50.0
V. Hamilton V. Hamilton G 6 0.0 6.8 6.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.7 8.2 7.0 -53 26 -2.0 -4.1 38.8 0.0 75.0 0.68 40.4 38.8
D. Breaux D. Breaux G 2 0.0 3.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.5 -1.5 -9 20 -0.5 -1.2 23.1 12.5 0 1.82 26.9 26.9
A. Colbert A. Colbert C 2 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 -74 25 -3.0 -9.9 50.0 0 0 -0.95 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG