TCU Horned Frogs
2013 Team Stats (8 games)
56.8
PPG
73.5
Opp
-16.8
Margin
34.4%
FG%
30.9%
3P%
63.5%
FT%
29.8
RPG
13.0
APG
14.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.4
Adj PPG
57.5
Adj Opp PPG
#102
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1050 (#131) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 968 (#189) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 909 (#285) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.1 (#96) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +8.5 (#76) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.247 (#252) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.766 (#94) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.775 (#93) | AdjNet +10.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.610 (#102) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 57.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.511 (#143) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 58.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.591 (#116) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.571 (#124) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 962 (#195) | RD 158 | GP 30 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-14 | vs | Charlotte 49ers | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2012-11-16 | vs | UCF Knights | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2012-11-25 | @ | Texas State Bobcats | L | 80 - 91 |
| 2012-11-28 | vs | SMU Mustangs | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2012-12-02 | vs | Houston Cougars | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2012-12-05 | vs | UTSA Roadrunners | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ | Texas A&M Aggies | L | 47 - 68 |
| 2012-12-16 | vs | Sam Houston Bearkats | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2012-12-19 | vs | Georgia Lady Bulldogs | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2012-12-22 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W | 73 - 37 |
| 2012-12-29 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | W | 69 - 38 |
| 2013-01-02 | vs | Baylor Bears | L | 35 - 74 |
| 2013-01-05 | @ | Kansas State Wildcats | L | 58 - 59 |
| 2013-01-09 | vs | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ | Iowa State Cyclones | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2013-01-15 | @ | West Virginia Mountaineers | L | 50 - 58 |
| 2013-01-19 | vs | Kansas State Wildcats | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2013-01-27 | @ | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | L | 42 - 53 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 53 - 74 |
| 2013-02-02 | vs | Texas Longhorns | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2013-02-05 | @ | Oklahoma State Cowgirls | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2013-02-09 | vs | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | L | 46 - 64 |
| 2013-02-13 | vs | Kansas Jayhawks | L | 75 - 76 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ | Baylor Bears | L | 45 - 78 |
| 2013-02-20 | vs | Oklahoma State Cowgirls | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2013-02-23 | vs | West Virginia Mountaineers | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2013-02-26 | @ | Texas Longhorns | L | 46 - 59 |
| 2013-03-02 | vs | Iowa State Cyclones | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2013-03-05 | @ | Kansas Jayhawks | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2013-03-08 | @ | Kansas Jayhawks | L | 61 - 83 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N. Ventress
|
G | 8 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 3.5 | -136 | 26 | -5.2 | -7.3 | 32.1 | 37.8 | 85.2 | -3.2 | 47.5 | 40.5 |
Z. Medley
|
G | 8 | 0.0 | 9.8 | 2.6 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 11.4 | 4.8 | -75 | 26 | -2.9 | -3.7 | 28.6 | 28.8 | 69.2 | 2.1 | 40.3 | 37.9 |
L. Lovings
|
C | 8 | 0.0 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 11.5 | 6 | 26 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | 5.93 | 49.1 | 50.0 |
V. Hamilton
|
G | 6 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 7.0 | -53 | 26 | -2.0 | -4.1 | 38.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.68 | 40.4 | 38.8 |
D. Breaux
|
G | 2 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.5 | -1.5 | -9 | 20 | -0.5 | -1.2 | 23.1 | 12.5 | 0 | 1.82 | 26.9 | 26.9 |
A. Colbert
|
C | 2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -74 | 25 | -3.0 | -9.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.95 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG