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TCU Horned Frogs

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Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History

2012 Team Stats (2 games)

56.5
PPG
75.5
Opp
-19.0
Margin
37.2%
FG%
38.3%
3P%
64.7%
FT%
29.0
RPG
13.5
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.0
Adj PPG
56.5
Adj Opp PPG
#123
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1053 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 984 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More → 1010 (#151) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +2.7 (#122) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +1.8 (#132) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.687 (#103) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.8 More → 0.710 (#101) AdjNet +7.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.2 More → 0.722 (#101) AdjNet +8.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 56.5 More → 0.557 (#123) AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 56.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 56.4 More → 0.537 (#129) AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 56.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.590 (#119) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.586 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 142 | GP 28 More → 1001 (#158) RD 142 | GP 28

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 60 - 83
2011-11-14 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 65 - 30
2011-11-17 @ SMU Mustangs L 38 - 47
2011-11-20 vs NC State Wolfpack L 79 - 85
2011-12-01 @ Houston Cougars W 80 - 35
2011-12-04 vs Lamar Cardinals W 73 - 59
2011-12-11 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 53 - 68
2011-12-18 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 60 - 49
2011-12-20 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 60 - 43
2011-12-28 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 54 - 82
2011-12-31 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 66 - 38
2012-01-05 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 54 - 56
2012-01-07 vs Harvard Crimson L 44 - 56
2012-01-11 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 46 - 61
2012-01-14 vs Colorado State Rams W 79 - 71
2012-01-18 vs UNLV Lady Rebels L 57 - 72
2012-01-21 @ Boise State Broncos W 74 - 68
2012-01-25 @ Air Force Falcons W 66 - 44
2012-01-28 vs New Mexico Lobos W 63 - 56
2012-02-01 @ Wyoming Cowgirls L 54 - 64
2012-02-04 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 58 - 39
2012-02-11 @ Colorado State Rams L 59 - 61
2012-02-15 @ UNLV Lady Rebels L 54 - 55
2012-02-18 vs Boise State Broncos W 73 - 69
2012-02-22 vs Air Force Falcons W 61 - 31
2012-02-25 @ New Mexico Lobos W 63 - 52
2012-02-28 vs Wyoming Cowgirls W 58 - 48
2012-03-07 vs Wyoming Cowgirls L 44 - 61

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Thompson A. Thompson NA 2 0.0 15.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 13.0 4.0 -20 21 -1.0 -1.5 46.2 44.4 50.0 0.92 54.0 53.8
N. Ventress N. Ventress G 2 0.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 9.0 2.0 24 21 1.1 1.6 27.8 33.3 75.0 3.84 40.5 36.1
W. Williams W. Williams NA 2 0.0 7.5 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.5 7.0 -62 21 -3.0 -4.6 45.5 50.0 0 -3.52 68.2 68.2
D. Gross D. Gross NA 2 0.0 5.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 4.5 7.0 -2.0 -40 21 -1.9 -4.0 21.4 25.0 100.0 -1.99 33.6 28.6
L. Lovings L. Lovings C 2 0.0 1.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 1.5 3.0 5.0 -24 21 -1.1 -2.1 16.7 0 0.0 -1.55 15.5 16.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG