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TCU Horned Frogs

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History

2010 Team Stats (6 games)

64.0
PPG
65.0
Opp
-1.0
Margin
36.5%
FG%
35.9%
3P%
77.4%
FT%
33.5
RPG
11.5
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.8
Adj PPG
57.1
Adj Opp PPG
#38
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1208 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1229 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1071 (#83) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +15.8 (#37) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +15.0 (#37) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.882 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.0 More โ†’ 0.947 (#34) AdjNet +25.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.6 More โ†’ 0.952 (#33) AdjNet +25.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 57.1 More โ†’ 0.793 (#38) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 57.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 60.2 More โ†’ 0.704 (#42) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 60.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.834 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.820 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1204 (#52) RD 115 | GP 31

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-15 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 109 - 30
2009-11-18 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 63 - 52
2009-11-21 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 70 - 74
2009-11-23 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 85 - 55
2009-11-27 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 56 - 61
2009-11-28 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 74 - 69
2009-12-01 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 65 - 44
2009-12-06 @ NC State Wolfpack L 62 - 76
2009-12-09 @ SMU Mustangs W 84 - 66
2009-12-12 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 56 - 54
2009-12-20 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 83 - 65
2009-12-31 @ Houston Cougars W 66 - 61
2010-01-02 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 78 - 74
2010-01-06 @ Air Force Falcons W 72 - 35
2010-01-09 vs Utah Utes W 62 - 41
2010-01-13 @ Wyoming Cowgirls L 67 - 73
2010-01-16 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 80 - 63
2010-01-23 @ UNLV Lady Rebels W 81 - 61
2010-01-27 vs Colorado State Rams W 78 - 51
2010-01-30 @ New Mexico Lobos L 53 - 60
2010-02-03 vs BYU Cougars W 64 - 40
2010-02-06 vs Air Force Falcons W 77 - 47
2010-02-10 @ Utah Utes W 105 - 96
2010-02-13 vs Wyoming Cowgirls W 78 - 59
2010-02-16 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 61 - 84
2010-02-23 vs UNLV Lady Rebels W 79 - 64
2010-02-27 @ Colorado State Rams W 73 - 61
2010-03-02 vs New Mexico Lobos W 66 - 54
2010-03-06 @ BYU Cougars L 65 - 70
2010-03-12 vs Utah Utes L 57 - 69
2010-03-20 @ Dayton Flyers L 66 - 67

2010 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
H. Sverrisdottir H. Sverrisdottir G 6 0.0 15.8 9.2 5.7 2.2 0.8 5.2 10.8 17.7 153 19 8.1 11.2 41.5 33.3 85.0 2.04 57.5 46.9
T. LaFleur T. LaFleur G 1 0.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 3.0 87 19 4.6 7.4 28.6 28.6 75.0 -0.5 41.2 35.7
E. Carter E. Carter F 6 0.0 10.3 1.7 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.3 9.5 3.7 174 19 9.2 13.0 35.1 42.9 83.3 3.22 49.8 45.6
S. Crawford S. Crawford NA 6 0.0 8.3 8.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.2 9.3 8.2 203 19 10.7 17.3 37.5 0.0 72.7 6.72 41.1 37.5
T. Dials T. Dials F-C 5 0.0 7.8 1.0 0.8 1.4 0.0 2.0 7.6 1.4 91 19 4.8 10.5 39.5 33.3 100.0 1.36 50.2 48.7
D. Gross D. Gross NA 1 0.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 0.0 148 19 7.8 18.3 33.3 0.0 0.0 4.91 31.8 33.3
A. Thompson A. Thompson NA 5 0.0 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.0 2.4 3.2 1.2 56 19 2.9 6.6 25.0 20.0 50.0 -0.93 29.6 28.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG