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TCU Horned Frogs

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History

2005 Team Stats (3 games)

45.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
41.7%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
60.5%
FT%
20.7
RPG
0.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.5
Adj PPG
54.4
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1279 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1261 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1088 (#60) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +18.5 (#26) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ +16.4 (#36) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.841 (#42) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.0 More โ†’ 0.966 (#28) AdjNet +29.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +29.5 More โ†’ 0.969 (#28) AdjNet +29.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 54.4 More โ†’ 0.826 (#25) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 54.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 55.2 More โ†’ 0.733 (#31) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 55.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.870 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.857 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1238 (#35) RD 119 | GP 32

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-19 vs UCLA Bruins W 65 - 60
2004-11-21 @ Miami Hurricanes L 57 - 68
2004-11-22 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 88 - 63
2004-11-26 @ California Golden Bears W 96 - 89
2004-11-27 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs W 64 - 63
2004-11-28 @ Michigan State Spartans W 80 - 75
2004-12-02 vs SMU Mustangs W 85 - 65
2004-12-05 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 64 - 68
2004-12-09 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 81 - 65
2004-12-11 @ Utah Utes L 72 - 85
2004-12-19 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 55 - 82
2004-12-21 vs USC Trojans L 70 - 71
2004-12-29 vs Grambling Lady Tigers W 79 - 33
2005-01-02 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 60 - 42
2005-01-07 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles W 81 - 43
2005-01-09 @ Tulane Green Wave W 78 - 66
2005-01-14 vs South Florida Bulls W 67 - 55
2005-01-16 vs UAB Blazers W 75 - 34
2005-01-21 @ Louisville Cardinals L 57 - 63
2005-01-23 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 68 - 51
2005-01-30 @ Houston Cougars W 63 - 55
2005-02-05 vs Memphis Tigers W 74 - 64
2005-02-07 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 80 - 51
2005-02-11 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 55 - 71
2005-02-13 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 81 - 84
2005-02-18 vs Charlotte 49ers W 76 - 51
2005-02-20 vs East Carolina Pirates W 66 - 41
2005-02-22 vs North Dakota State Bison W 74 - 43
2005-02-27 vs Houston Cougars L 52 - 61
2005-03-04 vs South Florida Bulls W 65 - 57
2005-03-05 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 87 - 77
2005-03-06 @ Louisville Cardinals W 60 - 41
2005-03-19 vs Oregon Ducks L 55 - 58

2005 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Hinrich K. Hinrich - 3 0.0 20.0 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.3 13.3 - - - - 46.9 33.3 57.1 - 51.5 49.0
N. Lacy N. Lacy NA 3 0.0 11.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3 3.7 - - - - 32.4 22.2 53.8 - 38.6 35.1
A. Davis A. Davis NA 3 0.0 10.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 4.0 - - - - 40.9 38.9 85.7 - 61.8 56.8
C. Kaman C. Kaman - 3 0.0 7.3 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 - - - - 50.0 0 66.7 - 53.3 50.0
L. Butler-Rayford L. Butler-Rayford NA 2 0.0 1.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.0 - - - - 11.1 0.0 50.0 - 15.2 11.1
M. Knight M. Knight NA 1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG