TCU Horned Frogs
2005 Team Stats (3 games)
45.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
41.7%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
60.5%
FT%
20.7
RPG
0.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.5
Adj PPG
54.4
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1279 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1261 (#35) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1088 (#60) | HCA +92 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +18.5 (#26) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +16.4 (#36) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.841 (#42) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.966 (#28) | AdjNet +29.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.969 (#28) | AdjNet +29.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.826 (#25) | AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 54.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.733 (#31) | AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 55.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.870 (#27) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.857 (#27) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1238 (#35) | RD 119 | GP 32 |
2005 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-11-19 | vs | UCLA Bruins | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ | Miami Hurricanes | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2004-11-22 | vs | Sam Houston Bearkats | W | 88 - 63 |
| 2004-11-26 | @ | California Golden Bears | W | 96 - 89 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ | Georgia Lady Bulldogs | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ | Michigan State Spartans | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2004-12-02 | vs | SMU Mustangs | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ | Arkansas State Red Wolves | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2004-12-09 | vs | Oklahoma Sooners | W | 81 - 65 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 72 - 85 |
| 2004-12-19 | @ | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2004-12-21 | vs | USC Trojans | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2004-12-29 | vs | Grambling Lady Tigers | W | 79 - 33 |
| 2005-01-02 | vs | UT Arlington Mavericks | W | 60 - 42 |
| 2005-01-07 | @ | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | W | 81 - 43 |
| 2005-01-09 | @ | Tulane Green Wave | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2005-01-14 | vs | South Florida Bulls | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2005-01-16 | vs | UAB Blazers | W | 75 - 34 |
| 2005-01-21 | @ | Louisville Cardinals | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ | Cincinnati Bearcats | W | 68 - 51 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ | Houston Cougars | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2005-02-05 | vs | Memphis Tigers | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2005-02-07 | vs | Saint Louis Billikens | W | 80 - 51 |
| 2005-02-11 | @ | Marquette Golden Eagles | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ | DePaul Blue Demons | L | 81 - 84 |
| 2005-02-18 | vs | Charlotte 49ers | W | 76 - 51 |
| 2005-02-20 | vs | East Carolina Pirates | W | 66 - 41 |
| 2005-02-22 | vs | North Dakota State Bison | W | 74 - 43 |
| 2005-02-27 | vs | Houston Cougars | L | 52 - 61 |
| 2005-03-04 | vs | South Florida Bulls | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ | DePaul Blue Demons | W | 87 - 77 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ | Louisville Cardinals | W | 60 - 41 |
| 2005-03-19 | vs | Oregon Ducks | L | 55 - 58 |
2005 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Hinrich
|
- | 3 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.3 | 13.3 | - | - | - | - | 46.9 | 33.3 | 57.1 | - | 51.5 | 49.0 |
N. Lacy
|
NA | 3 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.3 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 32.4 | 22.2 | 53.8 | - | 38.6 | 35.1 |
A. Davis
|
NA | 3 | 0.0 | 10.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.9 | 38.9 | 85.7 | - | 61.8 | 56.8 |
C. Kaman
|
- | 3 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 53.3 | 50.0 |
L. Butler-Rayford
|
NA | 2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 15.2 | 11.1 |
M. Knight
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG