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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2022 Team Stats (31 games)

69.2
PPG
65.7
Opp
+3.5
Margin
44.2%
FG%
30.7%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
39.8
RPG
13.8
APG
14.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.7
Adj PPG
59.7
Adj Opp PPG
#29
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1244 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1213 (#43) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 1065 (#93) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +13.2 (#29) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ +16.5 (#15) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.649 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.0 More โ†’ 0.909 (#24) AdjNet +20.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.2 More โ†’ 0.912 (#24) AdjNet +20.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 59.7 More โ†’ 0.749 (#29) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 59.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 61.7 More โ†’ 0.701 (#22) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 61.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.811 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.803 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1245 (#29) RD 101 | GP 34

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-11 vs McNeese Cowboys W 77 - 61
2021-11-15 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 83 - 51
2021-11-18 vs Nicholls Colonels W 63 - 50
2021-11-22 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 66 - 85
2021-11-24 @ Pepperdine Waves W 73 - 64
2021-11-29 vs Austin Peay Governors W 68 - 51
2021-12-02 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 71 - 63
2021-12-08 vs Utah Utes W 76 - 62
2021-12-11 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 68 - 64
2021-12-18 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 80 - 73
2021-12-21 vs Grambling Tigers W 90 - 55
2021-12-29 vs Texas Southern Tigers - Preview
2022-01-03 vs West Virginia Mountaineers - Postponed
2022-01-08 vs Baylor Bears L 64 - 76
2022-01-12 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 60 - 57
2022-01-15 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 59 - 58
2022-01-19 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 56 - 57
2022-01-22 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 59 - 44
2022-01-25 vs Texas Longhorns L 50 - 73
2022-01-29 vs LSU Tigers W 77 - 68
2022-01-31 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 72 - 63
2022-02-05 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 63 - 75
2022-02-08 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 77 - 73
2022-02-12 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 69 - 82
2022-02-15 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 51 - 54
2022-02-19 @ Baylor Bears L 62 - 72
2022-02-21 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 77 - 67
2022-02-23 @ Texas Longhorns L 66 - 75
2022-02-26 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 69 - 66
2022-03-01 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 74 - 64
2022-03-03 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 68 - 72
2022-03-05 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 64 - 70
2022-03-10 @ Texas Longhorns W 65 - 60
2022-03-11 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 62 - 75
2022-03-18 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 69 - 42
2022-03-20 @ Arizona Wildcats L 80 - 85

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mike Miles Mike Miles - 30 33.3 15.3 3.5 3.9 1.2 0.2 2.6 13.5 8.0 70 27 2.6 3.2 38.9 30.7 75.4 1.09 49.7 44.2
Damion Baugh Damion Baugh - 31 31.5 10.6 4.5 4.5 1.3 0.2 3.3 9.1 8.7 115 26 4.4 5.9 42.3 27.8 65.9 5.08 51.4 47.2
Emanuel Miller Emanuel Miller - 33 27.5 10.3 6.3 0.9 0.7 0.8 1.4 8.2 9.4 103 29 3.6 5.3 49.3 22.7 68.1 2.3 56.1 51.1
C. O'Bannon Jr. C. O'Bannon Jr. - 33 24.2 9.6 4.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 1.0 7.4 8.0 88 29 3.0 5.3 41.6 35.4 70.5 0.15 56.1 50.8
Eddie Lampkin Eddie Lampkin C 32 21.8 7.0 6.3 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.0 4.6 9.6 67 28 2.4 4.7 58.9 0 51.4 1.21 63.3 58.9
Micah Peavy Micah Peavy - 33 21.0 6.0 4.0 1.1 0.5 0.5 1.7 5.3 5.2 29 29 1.0 2.0 45.4 18.5 57.6 -1.94 49.3 46.8
Maxwell Evans Maxwell Evans NA 3 20.7 5.0 2.3 2.3 0.7 0.3 2.0 5.7 3.0 - - - - 29.4 33.3 66.7 - 40.9 38.2
Francisco Farabello Francisco Farabello - 32 18.4 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.6 85 29 2.9 6.2 40.0 38.9 88.0 2.65 59.9 55.9
Xavier Cork Xavier Cork - 32 13.4 3.2 2.6 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.8 2.4 3.9 15 28 0.5 1.6 60.5 0 61.1 -1.26 61.4 60.5
Jakobe Coles Jakobe Coles F 33 8.5 2.6 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 2.5 2.4 70 28 2.5 10.9 38.1 24.3 70.6 0.78 46.5 43.5
Shahada Wells Shahada Wells - 6 7.8 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.2 -12 7 -1.7 -9.4 27.8 27.3 0 -4.61 36.1 36.1
Darius Ford Darius Ford G 2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.23 100.0 100.0
Souleymane Doumbia Souleymane Doumbia - 27 5.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 47 25 1.9 14.1 54.5 50.0 37.5 0.76 54.9 56.8
Harrison Young Harrison Young G 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.79 0.0 0.0
Cole Despie Cole Despie - 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.75 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

666 located field-goal attempts in 12 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Miller26% Baugh22% Miles34% Miles45% O'Bannon35%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Miles27% Miles20% Miles45% Miles50% Baugh26% O'Bannon42% O'Bannon33% Miles55% Miles29% O'Bannon27%
Misses: who misses most here

Mike MilesEmanuel MillerDamion BaughC. O'Bannon Jr.

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 159-243 65.4 318 Emanuel Miller 26% (84 pts) Mike Miles 18% (58 pts) Mike Miles 27% (23 misses) Emanuel Miller 15% (13 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 36-120 30.0 72 Damion Baugh 22% (16 pts) Eddie Lampkin 19% (14 pts) Mike Miles 20% (17 misses) Damion Baugh 18% (15 misses)
Mid-range left 47-78 60.3 94 Mike Miles 34% (32 pts) C. O'Bannon Jr. 17% (16 pts) Mike Miles 45% (14 misses) Damion Baugh 26% (8 misses)
Mid-range center 11-19 57.9 22 Mike Miles 45% (10 pts) C. O'Bannon Jr. 18% (4 pts) Mike Miles 50% (4 misses) C. O'Bannon Jr. 12% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 37-72 51.4 74 C. O'Bannon Jr. 35% (26 pts) Mike Miles 22% (16 pts) Damion Baugh 26% (9 misses) Emanuel Miller 23% (8 misses)
Left corner 3 0-19 0.0 0 - - C. O'Bannon Jr. 42% (8 misses) Damion Baugh 11% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 0-6 0.0 0 - - C. O'Bannon Jr. 33% (2 misses) Damion Baugh 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 0-44 0.0 0 - - Mike Miles 55% (24 misses) Damion Baugh 14% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-28 0.0 0 - - Mike Miles 29% (8 misses) C. O'Bannon Jr. 25% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-37 0.0 0 - - C. O'Bannon Jr. 27% (10 misses) Mike Miles 24% (9 misses)