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TCU

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History
Coach: Trent Johnson

2016 Team Stats (13 games)

64.9
PPG
76.8
Opp
-11.9
Margin
39.6%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
67.9%
FT%
31.3
RPG
11.8
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
66.9
Adj Opp PPG
#132
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1052 (#138) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 982 (#192) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 907 (#294) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +3.1 (#123) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +0.9 (#153) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.320 (#250) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.0 More → 0.640 (#119) AdjNet +5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.1 More → 0.643 (#119) AdjNet +5.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.553 (#132) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.430 (#225) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.520 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.495 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 33 More → 1017 (#154) RD 134 | GP 33

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 90 - 77
2015-11-19 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 90 - 63
2015-11-21 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 67 - 76
2015-11-24 @ Rhode Island Rams L 60 - 66
2015-11-25 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 71 - 60
2015-12-02 vs SMU Mustangs L 70 - 75
2015-12-05 vs Colgate Raiders W 76 - 49
2015-12-08 @ Washington Huskies L 67 - 92
2015-12-11 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 73 - 55
2015-12-20 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 80 - 69
2015-12-23 @ Bradley Braves W 53 - 49
2015-12-28 vs Delaware State Hornets W 75 - 47
2016-01-02 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 48 - 69
2016-01-04 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 87 - 95
2016-01-09 vs Texas Longhorns W 58 - 57
2016-01-13 @ Baylor Bears L 54 - 82
2016-01-16 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 63 - 70
2016-01-18 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 69 - 76
2016-01-23 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 60 - 73
2016-01-26 @ Texas Longhorns L 54 - 71
2016-01-30 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 75 - 63
2016-02-02 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 72 - 95
2016-02-06 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 56 - 75
2016-02-08 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 63 - 56
2016-02-13 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 42 - 73
2016-02-16 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 49 - 63
2016-02-20 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 83 - 92
2016-02-23 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 79 - 83
2016-02-27 vs Baylor Bears L 71 - 86
2016-03-02 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 54 - 79
2016-03-05 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 67 - 75
2016-03-09 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 67 - 62
2016-03-10 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 66 - 86

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chauncey Collins Chauncey Collins G 29 31.4 12.7 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 2.0 4.7 12.0 -109 28 -3.9 -5.5 38.7 40.2 79.3 3.34 112.9 52.2
M. Trent-Street M. Trent-Street G 27 28.9 11.4 3.1 2.8 2.1 0.2 2.9 5.2 11.5 -89 26 -3.4 -5.2 36.9 25.8 70.2 0.67 92.7 42.6
Vladimir Brodziansky Vladimir Brodziansky F 30 21.7 10.0 4.5 0.6 0.3 1.0 1.2 3.7 11.5 -42 28 -1.5 -3.2 54.1 40.9 67.5 1.48 117.0 58.1
Brandon Parrish Brandon Parrish G 30 31.1 8.4 3.4 1.2 0.5 0.4 1.5 3.7 8.7 -126 28 -4.5 -6.3 35.1 30.4 66.7 -0.85 104.1 41.4
JD Miller JD Miller F 30 19.9 7.1 4.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 1.5 3.0 8.9 -109 28 -3.9 -8.8 37.4 40.0 72.1 -1.04 96.4 39.6
Karviar Shepherd Karviar Shepherd F 26 20.1 6.9 4.7 0.8 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.3 9.7 -38 24 -1.6 -3.3 41.7 42.9 55.6 0.1 131.8 44.2
Chris Washburn Chris Washburn F 20 24.2 6.6 4.5 1.8 1.2 1.1 2.5 4.0 8.7 -123 20 -6.2 -11.2 30.4 25.0 56.2 -0.91 65.9 31.6
Devonta Abron Devonta Abron F 24 11.7 4.6 3.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.8 1.1 7.1 -23 21 -1.1 -3.7 42.3 0 71.9 -0.9 137.2 42.3
Michael Williams Michael Williams G 25 27.0 4.5 2.2 2.7 0.4 0.1 1.0 2.0 6.9 -83 23 -3.6 -6.2 44.9 26.3 77.8 -2.12 106.7 50.0
Lyrik Shreiner Lyrik Shreiner G 20 5.2 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.5 1.7 1 18 0.1 0.5 44.4 33.3 80.0 -0.31 142.9 55.6
Dalton Dry Dalton Dry G 15 4.3 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.6 6 12 0.5 4.9 0.0 0.0 25.0 -0.53 52.1 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG