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TCU

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History
Coach: Trent Johnson

2016 Team Stats (13 games)

64.9
PPG
76.8
Opp
-11.9
Margin
39.6%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
67.9%
FT%
31.3
RPG
11.8
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
66.9
Adj Opp PPG
#132
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1052 (#138) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 982 (#192) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 907 (#294) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +3.1 (#123) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +0.9 (#153) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.320 (#250) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.0 More → 0.640 (#119) AdjNet +5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.1 More → 0.643 (#119) AdjNet +5.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.553 (#132) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.430 (#225) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.520 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.495 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 33 More → 1017 (#154) RD 134 | GP 33

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 90 - 77
2015-11-19 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 90 - 63
2015-11-21 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 67 - 76
2015-11-24 @ Rhode Island Rams L 60 - 66
2015-11-25 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 71 - 60
2015-12-02 vs SMU Mustangs L 70 - 75
2015-12-05 vs Colgate Raiders W 76 - 49
2015-12-08 @ Washington Huskies L 67 - 92
2015-12-11 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 73 - 55
2015-12-20 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 80 - 69
2015-12-23 @ Bradley Braves W 53 - 49
2015-12-28 vs Delaware State Hornets W 75 - 47
2016-01-02 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 48 - 69
2016-01-04 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 87 - 95
2016-01-09 vs Texas Longhorns W 58 - 57
2016-01-13 @ Baylor Bears L 54 - 82
2016-01-16 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 63 - 70
2016-01-18 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 69 - 76
2016-01-23 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 60 - 73
2016-01-26 @ Texas Longhorns L 54 - 71
2016-01-30 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 75 - 63
2016-02-02 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 72 - 95
2016-02-06 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 56 - 75
2016-02-08 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 63 - 56
2016-02-13 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 42 - 73
2016-02-16 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 49 - 63
2016-02-20 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 83 - 92
2016-02-23 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 79 - 83
2016-02-27 vs Baylor Bears L 71 - 86
2016-03-02 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 54 - 79
2016-03-05 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 67 - 75
2016-03-09 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 67 - 62
2016-03-10 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 66 - 86

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chauncey Collins Chauncey Collins G 29 31.4 12.7 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 2.0 4.7 12.0 -109 28 -3.9 -5.5 38.7 40.2 79.3 3.34 112.9 52.2
M. Trent-Street M. Trent-Street G 27 28.9 11.4 3.1 2.8 2.1 0.2 2.9 5.2 11.5 -89 26 -3.4 -5.2 36.9 25.8 70.2 0.67 92.7 42.6
Vladimir Brodziansky Vladimir Brodziansky F 30 21.7 10.0 4.5 0.6 0.3 1.0 1.2 3.7 11.5 -42 28 -1.5 -3.2 54.1 40.9 67.5 1.48 117.0 58.1
Brandon Parrish Brandon Parrish G 30 31.1 8.4 3.4 1.2 0.5 0.4 1.5 3.7 8.7 -126 28 -4.5 -6.3 35.1 30.4 66.7 -0.85 104.1 41.4
JD Miller JD Miller F 30 19.9 7.1 4.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 1.5 3.0 8.9 -109 28 -3.9 -8.8 37.4 40.0 72.1 -1.04 96.4 39.6
Karviar Shepherd Karviar Shepherd F 26 20.1 6.9 4.7 0.8 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.3 9.7 -38 24 -1.6 -3.3 41.7 42.9 55.6 0.1 131.8 44.2
Chris Washburn Chris Washburn F 20 24.2 6.6 4.5 1.8 1.2 1.1 2.5 4.0 8.7 -123 20 -6.2 -11.2 30.4 25.0 56.2 -0.91 65.9 31.6
Devonta Abron Devonta Abron F 24 11.7 4.6 3.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.8 1.1 7.1 -23 21 -1.1 -3.7 42.3 0 71.9 -0.9 137.2 42.3
Michael Williams Michael Williams G 25 27.0 4.5 2.2 2.7 0.4 0.1 1.0 2.0 6.9 -83 23 -3.6 -6.2 44.9 26.3 77.8 -2.12 106.7 50.0
Lyrik Shreiner Lyrik Shreiner G 20 5.2 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.5 1.7 1 18 0.1 0.5 44.4 33.3 80.0 -0.31 142.9 55.6
Dalton Dry Dalton Dry G 15 4.3 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.6 6 12 0.5 4.9 0.0 0.0 25.0 -0.53 52.1 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG