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2016-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 77.7% 22.3% -
Bradley-Terry 70.9% 29.1% -
Margin 62.0% 38.0% -2.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 77.7% 22.3% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.2% 16.8% -
Log Adjusted 83.3% 16.7% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -15 (71-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Medford * 35 2-4 1-2 1-2 6 10 1 0 6 6 13 -4.4
J. Motley * 31 7-12 0-0 8-12 9 1 0 2 2 22 20 +17.0
T. Prince * 31 10-15 2-3 0-1 8 2 0 2 3 22 16 +17.0
I. Wainright * 27 4-5 2-3 1-2 6 4 0 0 1 11 15 -
A. Freeman * 19 0-4 0-2 6-6 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 +9.9
K. McClure 24 2-6 2-4 2-2 4 0 2 1 0 8 9 +16.3
T. Maston 12 3-7 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 8 4 +6.5
R. Gathers 11 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
J. Lindsey 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Mills 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Heard 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Collins * 40 4-10 3-5 6-6 4 5 1 0 1 17 16 -12.6
M. Trent-Street * 37 6-13 2-5 11-13 1 1 4 1 1 25 18 -
J. Miller * 31 1-5 1-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 3 5 4 -8.0
B. Parrish * 25 2-6 0-1 1-3 2 1 1 1 2 5 2 -12.9
C. Washburn * 24 1-3 0-0 4-6 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 -7.9
V. Brodziansky 18 2-5 1-2 1-3 1 0 1 1 0 6 4 -
K. Shepherd 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
L. Shreiner 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -6.0

* = starter