TBA
Also known as: TBA
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 960 (#315) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 992 (#332) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -31.2 (#578) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.002 (#720) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.074 (#648) | AdjNet -21.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.070 (#650) | AdjNet -21.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.114 (#691) | AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 97.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.395 (#461) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 79.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.172 (#545) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.213 (#534) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 911 (#341) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Texas-Dallas | - | Preview |
| 2022-11-16 | @ | Virginia Union | - | Preview |
| 2022-11-26 | @ | Florida Tech | - | Preview |
| 2022-12-07 | @ | North Georgia | - | Preview |
| 2022-12-08 | vs | Holy Family | - | Preview |
| 2022-12-18 | vs | Bluefield St. | - | Preview |
| 2023-03-02 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2023-03-04 | vs | Benedict | W | 60 - 46 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ | Fairmont St. | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | - | Preview |
| 2023-03-05 | @ | Caldwell | - | Preview |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.