🐻⬇️🏀

TBA

Season: 2026 2023 2020
Also known as: TBA
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 960 (#315) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 992 (#332) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -31.2 (#578) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#720) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.9 More → 0.074 (#648) AdjNet -21.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -21.7 More → 0.070 (#650) AdjNet -21.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 97.9 More → 0.114 (#691) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 97.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 79.5 More → 0.395 (#461) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 79.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.172 (#545) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.213 (#534) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 911 (#339) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Barry L 72 - 125

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Deon Perry - 1 23.6 22.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 16.0 -29 -1.4 -7.1 66.7 62.5 100.0 0.19 88.4 87.5
Tarrance Warren Jr - 1 21.3 17.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 15.0 - - - 87.5 50.0 66.7 - 91.2 93.8
Adren Roberts - 1 23.6 16.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 16.0 50 10.0 44.0 87.5 0.0 100.0 -0.47 90.1 87.5
Marko Sarenac - 1 19.9 16.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 17.0 31 1.6 8.2 66.7 66.7 100.0 -0.48 81.0 77.8
Malik Stanley - 1 23.6 11.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 9.0 37 1.9 13.1 40.0 33.3 100.0 1.9 52.7 50.0
Ryan Van Eyck - 1 27.4 11.0 6.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 22.0 69 3.8 20.0 57.1 100.0 40.0 1.76 59.8 64.3
Breno Silva - 1 18.3 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 59 2.8 38.6 57.1 50.0 0.0 -0.39 67.2 71.4
Novak Perovic - 1 17.7 9.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 15.0 23 1.0 7.0 75.0 0 100.0 1.41 84.6 75.0
Jose Benitez - 1 9.3 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 -72 -5.1 -46.2 66.7 0.0 75.0 -1.72 73.5 66.7
Sami Elkamel - 1 10.0 6.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 8.0 5 0.3 6.9 60.0 0.0 0 -2.11 60.0 60.0
Noah Jaid - 1 5.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG