Syracuse
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1488 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1406 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1306 (#1) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.8 (#11) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.5 (#7) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.824 (#21) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.949 (#13) | AdjNet +25.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.950 (#14) | AdjNet +25.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.816 (#10) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 64.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.787 (#5) | AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.907 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.904 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1441 (#2) | RD 84 | GP 35 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-14 | N | Memphis | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2002-11-24 | vs | Valparaiso | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2002-12-03 | vs | Colgate | W | 98 - 68 |
| 2002-12-06 | vs | Cornell | W | 85 - 62 |
| 2002-12-10 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 92 - 65 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Binghamton | W | 94 - 58 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 92 - 65 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Albany (NY) | W | 109 - 79 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Canisius | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2003-01-08 | @ | Seton Hall | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Boston College | W | 82 - 74 |
| 2003-01-13 | vs | Missouri | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Pittsburgh | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2003-01-22 | vs | Seton Hall | W | 83 - 65 |
| 2003-01-26 | @ | Miami (FL) | W | 54 - 49 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ | Rutgers | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Pittsburgh | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2003-02-03 | vs | Georgetown | W | 88 - 80 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | West Virginia | W | 94 - 80 |
| 2003-02-10 | @ | Connecticut | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Notre Dame | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2003-02-18 | vs | St. John's (NY) | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2003-02-23 | @ | Michigan State | W | 76 - 75 |
| 2003-02-26 | vs | West Virginia | W | 89 - 51 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Georgetown | W | 93 - 84 |
| 2003-03-04 | @ | Notre Dame | W | 92 - 88 |
| 2003-03-09 | vs | Rutgers | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | Georgetown | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2003-03-14 | N | Connecticut | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2003-03-21 | N | Manhattan | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2003-03-23 | N | Oklahoma State | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2003-03-28 | N | Auburn | W | 79 - 78 |
| 2003-03-30 | N | Oklahoma | W | 63 - 47 |
| 2003-04-05 | N | Texas | W | 95 - 84 |
| 2003-04-07 | N | Kansas | W | 81 - 78 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.