Syracuse
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1261 (#37) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1160 (#55) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1050 (#86) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.3 (#23) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.5 (#29) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.801 (#25) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.931 (#18) | AdjNet +22.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.934 (#18) | AdjNet +22.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.774 (#21) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.687 (#26) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.798 (#28) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.783 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1192 (#45) | RD 111 | GP 32 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-17 | vs | Colgate | W | 93 - 40 |
| 1998-11-19 | vs | Coppin State | W | 74 - 56 |
| 1998-11-24 | N | Michigan | W | 58 - 46 |
| 1998-11-25 | N | Indiana | W | 76 - 63 |
| 1998-12-01 | vs | Quinnipiac | W | 93 - 65 |
| 1998-12-04 | vs | Ohio | L | 55 - 61 |
| 1998-12-05 | vs | Santa Clara | W | 95 - 75 |
| 1998-12-09 | @ | West Virginia | L | 59 - 73 |
| 1998-12-12 | vs | Seton Hall | L | 64 - 80 |
| 1998-12-27 | vs | St. Bonaventure | W | 71 - 55 |
| 1998-12-29 | @ | Notre Dame | W | 75 - 63 |
| 1999-01-02 | vs | West Virginia | W | 83 - 67 |
| 1999-01-05 | @ | Villanova | W | 74 - 52 |
| 1999-01-12 | vs | Providence | L | 58 - 67 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ | Georgetown | W | 81 - 79 |
| 1999-01-18 | @ | Rutgers | L | 71 - 74 |
| 1999-01-21 | vs | Boston College | W | 90 - 51 |
| 1999-01-24 | vs | South Carolina | W | 84 - 37 |
| 1999-01-27 | vs | St. John's (NY) | L | 70 - 75 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ | Seton Hall | W | 76 - 62 |
| 1999-02-01 | @ | Connecticut | W | 59 - 42 |
| 1999-02-06 | vs | Villanova | L | 60 - 75 |
| 1999-02-08 | vs | Miami (FL) | L | 63 - 76 |
| 1999-02-14 | @ | Pittsburgh | W | 75 - 67 |
| 1999-02-17 | vs | Notre Dame | W | 71 - 65 |
| 1999-02-21 | @ | UCLA | L | 69 - 93 |
| 1999-02-24 | @ | Boston College | W | 73 - 56 |
| 1999-02-28 | vs | Connecticut | L | 58 - 70 |
| 1999-03-03 | N | Boston College | W | 96 - 55 |
| 1999-03-04 | N | Villanova | W | 70 - 62 |
| 1999-03-05 | N | Connecticut | L | 50 - 71 |
| 1999-03-11 | N | Oklahoma State | L | 61 - 69 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.