Susquehanna
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1185 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1242 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1200 (#25) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.7 (#31) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.4 (#143) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.802 (#306) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.961 (#122) | NetEff +23.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.834 (#252) | AdjNet +14.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.830 (#254) | AdjNet +13.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.684 (#250) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 59.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.823 (#48) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 53.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.897 (#67) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.891 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1328 (#20) | RD 111 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Mary Washington | W | 83 - 60 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Gettysburg | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 92 - 53 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Juniata | W | 80 - 43 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Elizabethtown | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Misericordia | W | 57 - 37 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Wilkes | W | 72 - 46 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Eastern | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | Scranton | L | 57 - 79 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Catholic | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Drew | W | 63 - 44 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Goucher | W | 87 - 70 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Elizabethtown | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Juniata | W | 80 - 49 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Moravian | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Wilkes | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lycoming | W | 89 - 39 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Roth | - | 17 | 29.8 | 14.2 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 12.8 | 13.9 | 184 | 9.7 | 41.7 | 45.9 | 16.7 | 58.6 | 2.93 | 48.6 | 46.1 |
| Carly George | - | 17 | 24.0 | 10.4 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 200 | 10.0 | 55.7 | 49.3 | 20.0 | 65.9 | 3.75 | 52.6 | 49.7 |
| Annie Greek | - | 17 | 26.5 | 10.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 9.0 | 3.6 | 167 | 8.3 | 46.7 | 34.6 | 30.1 | 77.1 | 0.48 | 49.1 | 43.8 |
| Julia Pinckert | - | 17 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 8.2 | 11.8 | 182 | 9.1 | 44.0 | 43.9 | 42.4 | 75.9 | 1.69 | 55.7 | 52.9 |
| Sydney Weyant | - | 17 | 31.3 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 7.0 | 214 | 10.7 | 53.2 | 42.4 | 36.5 | 85.7 | 1.27 | 55.5 | 53.6 |
| Zoie Maffei | - | 15 | 20.8 | 8.4 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 6.7 | 10.1 | 110 | 6.1 | 59.3 | 48.0 | 16.7 | 80.0 | -0.59 | 54.6 | 49.0 |
| Delaney Chilcote | - | 4 | 16.4 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 33 | 2.5 | 193.6 | 61.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 73.1 | 73.1 |
| Renee Wells | - | 17 | 16.3 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 54 | 2.8 | 14.2 | 32.8 | 30.0 | 81.8 | 1.07 | 44.8 | 37.5 |
| Avery Nelson | - | 11 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 27 | 1.9 | 28.7 | 34.4 | 34.8 | 83.3 | 1.25 | 50.5 | 46.9 |
| Greta Servitto | - | 12 | 8.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 24 | 1.6 | 27.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 40.0 | -1.45 | 51.1 | 52.1 |
| Delany Chilcote | - | 9 | 12.7 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 33 | 2.5 | 193.6 | 30.4 | 21.4 | 80.0 | -0.8 | 41.7 | 37.0 |
| Kate Henn | - | 3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 13 | 2.2 | 42.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.31 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Cassie Doemling | - | 5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -8 | -1.3 | -49.6 | 37.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 39.4 | 37.5 |
| Tatum Laughard | - | 4 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -12 | -2.4 | -116.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG