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Stockton Ospreys

Also known as: Stockton Ospreys
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1083 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1066 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1081 (#115) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +1.4 (#107) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +0.3 (#344) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.634 (#375) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.2 More → 0.719 (#30) NetEff +9.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.3 More → 0.621 (#307) AdjNet +4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.614 (#307) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.575 (#309) AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 77.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 75.2 More → 0.609 (#203) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 75.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.582 (#329) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.593 (#325) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 1107 (#169) RD 98 | GP 22

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-10 vs Roanoke L 74 - 85
2023-11-11 @ King's (PA) W 91 - 75
2023-11-17 @ Keene St. W 87 - 71
2023-11-18 vs Saint John's (MN) L 64 - 77
2023-11-21 @ Rowan W 76 - 73
2023-11-29 @ Rutgers-Camden L 61 - 64
2023-12-02 vs Ramapo W 71 - 66
2023-12-06 vs Rutgers-Newark W 75 - 64
2023-12-09 @ Wm. Paterson W 92 - 91
2023-12-13 vs TCNJ L 69 - 78
2023-12-16 vs Eastern L 73 - 77
2023-12-29 @ Cortland W 77 - 51
2023-12-30 @ Albright W 90 - 70
2024-01-06 @ Montclair St. W 95 - 81
2024-01-10 @ Kean W 85 - 80
2024-01-13 vs New Jersey City W 94 - 74
2024-01-17 vs Rowan W 109 - 99
2024-01-20 @ Ramapo L 65 - 78
2024-01-24 vs Rutgers-Camden L 71 - 77
2024-01-27 vs Wm. Paterson W 93 - 65
2024-01-31 @ Rutgers-Newark L 64 - 66
2024-02-03 vs Montclair St. W 91 - 81
2024-02-07 @ TCNJ W 90 - 77
2024-02-10 @ New Jersey City W 82 - 77
2024-02-14 vs Kean L 56 - 72
2024-02-21 vs Montclair St. W 91 - 77
2024-02-24 vs TCNJ L 62 - 75
2024-03-01 @ Tufts L 55 - 59

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justin Kuthan - 1 36.0 32.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 28.0 5 2.5 5.8 83.3 100.0 73.3 0.29 86.0 87.5
Marcellus Ross - 1 34.0 25.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 20.0 9.0 -6 -1.5 -2.6 40.0 50.0 50.0 0.65 59.9 60.0
D.J. Alicea - 1 35.0 20.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 13.0 37 18.5 42.5 53.8 20.0 50.0 0.43 57.5 57.7
DJ Campbell - 22 35.9 19.5 6.0 2.4 2.5 1.1 1.9 15.3 14.4 -35 -11.7 -12.2 40.5 34.2 88.3 0.11 56.3 50.3
Zubair Lee - 1 28.0 18.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 18.0 2 0.4 96.0 62.5 100.0 87.5 -1.56 78.1 68.8
Kaeshawn Ward - 1 36.0 18.0 5.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 17.0 16 3.2 6.4 46.2 75.0 75.0 0.81 61.0 57.7
Matthew Solomon - 1 38.0 18.0 20.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 16.0 24.0 -4 -0.3 -1.5 56.2 0.0 0.0 1.03 53.3 56.2
Justin Morton - 1 24.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 5.0 1 1.0 1.3 57.1 33.3 50.0 0.15 60.5 60.7
Nick Koch - 1 33.0 17.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 14.0 -23 -1.9 -8.2 54.5 50.0 80.0 0.8 64.4 59.1
Zach Rosenthal - 1 39.0 17.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 8.0 48 4.0 56.6 42.9 33.3 66.7 0.17 55.5 53.6
Tayvon Gaither - 22 27.1 16.6 7.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 3.2 10.7 12.0 -8 -0.6 -3.2 57.0 50.0 77.6 0.34 63.1 57.2
Ja'Zere Noel - 1 38.0 16.0 15.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 14.0 22.0 26 6.5 10.0 42.9 50.0 66.7 1.54 52.2 50.0
Brandon Upshaw - 1 34.0 15.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 9.0 - - - 46.2 60.0 0 - 57.7 57.7
Tyler Spencer - 1 34.0 14.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 15.0 -3 -3.0 -11.4 75.0 100.0 100.0 -0.37 82.9 81.2
EJ Matthews-Spratley - 20 27.2 13.9 4.5 1.6 1.2 0.1 2.6 8.9 9.8 -39 -13.0 -16.0 49.7 47.6 82.2 -0.01 65.8 60.9
Jaron Fairweather - 1 36.0 13.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 8.0 -8 -1.6 -3.0 54.5 33.3 0 0.42 59.1 59.1
James Beckwith - 1 32.0 12.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 8.0 11 2.8 5.2 36.4 25.0 100.0 0.8 50.5 45.5
Matthew Okorie - 1 31.0 12.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 16 4.0 6.0 55.6 0.0 66.7 1.05 58.1 55.6
JD Daniels - 1 28.0 12.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 16 16.0 23.1 62.5 50.0 0 0.28 75.0 75.0
Marcus Morgan - 1 30.0 12.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 4.0 93 6.2 116.9 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.17 38.9 40.0
Jason Larranaga - 1 34.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 5.0 10 2.5 4.5 37.5 42.9 100.0 0.96 61.9 56.2
Joshua McClary - 1 23.0 11.0 7.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 14.0 70 14.0 81.1 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.35 61.9 56.2
Martin Anguelov - 16 24.3 9.6 2.4 2.1 1.4 0.0 1.4 8.4 5.8 - - - 38.8 35.6 79.2 - 53.3 50.4
Nick Pellegrini - 16 24.3 9.6 2.4 2.1 1.4 0.0 1.4 8.4 5.8 - - - 38.8 35.6 79.2 - 53.3 50.4
Eljay Morris - 1 29.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 -8 -2.0 -4.4 66.7 100.0 0 0.59 75.0 75.0
Josh Wright - 1 16.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 4 1.3 9.0 37.5 28.6 50.0 0.04 50.7 50.0
Chris McCarron - 1 17.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -26 -2.4 -23.9 66.7 66.7 100.0 0.19 103.1 100.0
Jalen Collins - 22 16.8 7.5 4.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 1.0 6.7 5.6 -17 -5.7 -9.1 48.3 21.4 72.4 0.47 52.0 49.3
Khalif Meares - 1 16.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 2.0 11 2.8 4.0 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.94 35.4 33.3
Kevin Reeves - 1 19.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 3.0 8 1.6 6.3 33.3 0.0 0 0.41 33.3 33.3
Joshua Morse - 1 27.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 50 10.0 57.5 40.0 0.0 66.7 0.26 47.5 40.0
Rynell Lawrence - 23 25.8 5.4 4.5 2.7 0.6 0.3 2.0 4.9 6.6 -32 -10.7 -14.0 37.2 22.2 60.0 0.29 47.5 44.2
Nick Mate - 1 14.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -28 -1.9 -31.7 40.0 33.3 0 0.12 50.0 50.0
Booty Butler - 1 33.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 8.0 22 5.5 11.2 0.0 0.0 83.3 1.51 25.9 0.0
Jack Vreeswyk - 1 16.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 16.7 0 - 31.2 31.2
Max Rottmann - 1 17.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 100.0 - 86.8 75.0
Arkese Claiborne - 1 13.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 6 1.2 3.1 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.43 41.0 50.0
Christian Armstrong-Thomas - 22 18.0 3.9 3.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.2 3.4 4.8 - - - 37.3 16.7 65.1 - 45.3 38.0
Anthony Milligan - 1 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -6 -0.7 -14.5 33.3 50.0 0 -0.18 50.0 50.0
Davin Hernandez - 1 16.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 20 4.0 33.8 20.0 25.0 0 0.31 30.0 30.0
Jamar Johnson - 22 18.1 2.4 2.2 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.9 1.8 4.3 -20 -6.7 -12.8 35.0 22.2 62.9 0.33 46.9 37.5
Jamir Spivey - 1 22.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 -16 -4.0 -15.2 0.0 0 50.0 0.07 17.4 0.0
Devon Johnson - 21 5.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.0 23 2.1 48.8 41.9 26.7 45.5 -0.08 48.8 48.4
Charles Sapp - 23 3.6 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 1 0.5 3.2 56.5 0 66.7 -0.24 59.3 56.5
DaRon Sherman - 1 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -9 -2.2 -19.7 0 0 50.0 -0.07 56.8 0
Mikey Robinson Jr. - 1 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 21 5.2 18.9 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.61 26.6 0.0
Trey Harts - 1 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -2.0 36 18.0 50.2 0.0 0 50.0 0.21 12.9 0.0
Trent Dawson - 1 16.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 11 5.5 51.6 0.0 0.0 25.0 -0.45 10.5 0.0
Porter Stanley - 1 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 62 4.4 865.1 0 0 50.0 -1.04 56.8 0
Amori Spence - 22 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 28.6 50.0 -1.57 59.7 60.0
Drew Brosh - 22 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Andrew Crawford - 23 2.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 21 1.6 393.8 25.0 0 0 -1.19 25.0 25.0
Brian Jackson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.57 0 0
Zayd Lee - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.4 96.0 0 0 0 -1.56 0 0
Roland Majors - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Olise Onyeka - 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 6 1.5 37.4 0.0 0 0 -0.59 0.0 0.0
Drew Rogers - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.56 0 0
Dominic Sarigumba - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -2.2 -237.4 0 0 0 -1.36 0 0
Michael Evans - 23 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 7.3 0.0
Drew Amos - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -1.0 -7.2 0 0 0 -0.1 0 0
Moddy Bickley - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Ems - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -6.0 -94.1 0 0 0 -0.76 0 0
Tim Myarick - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -1.0 -57.1 0 0 0 -1.57 0 0
Ryan O'Melia - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -1.0 -57.1 0 0 0 -1.57 0 0
Ife Okebiorun - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9 0.9 514.3 0 0 0 -1.57 0 0
Carsimir Paul - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
David Alexandre - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 12 1.3 8.9 0.0 0 0 0.46 0.0 0.0
Connor Howard - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shaun Johnson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 3.7 38.9 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0
Andrew Kaminski - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaydis McFadden - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Thomas Menyhert - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Robinson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.1 1.1 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
Chris Santner - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Josh Fadahunsi - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.56 0 0
Jalen Freeman - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Vaughn Laki Anderson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Seth Edwards - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -3.3 -21.3 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
Isaiah Fuller - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Christian Garcia - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mario Gunn - 1 18.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 11.0 11 11.0 14.3 0 0 0 0.27 0 0
Shane Hailey - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mike Isaac - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shyeim Powell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ethan Stith - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 14 14.0 15.7 0 0 0 0.36 0 0
Diante Miles - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Laddis Taylor - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jack Adair - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jackson Bell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 35 2.9 162.8 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
Jack Brestel - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jake Chisholm - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Patrick Clevenger - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Colin Fayed - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Clayton Gaither - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24 6.0 70.9 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
Andrew Maddalon - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Myles Morgan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93 6.2 116.9 0 0 0 0.17 0 0
Gavin O'Malley - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61 4.1 677.8 0 0 0 -0.9 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG