Stockton Ospreys
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1083 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1066 (#216) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1081 (#115) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#107) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.3 (#344) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.634 (#375) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.719 (#30) | NetEff +9.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.621 (#307) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.614 (#307) | AdjNet +4.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.575 (#309) | AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.609 (#203) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.582 (#329) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.593 (#325) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1107 (#169) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Baruch | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2022-11-13 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2022-11-16 | @ | DeSales | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Rowan | L | 98 - 109 |
| 2022-11-26 | vs | Widener | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2022-11-30 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Ramapo | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2022-12-07 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2022-12-10 | vs | Wm. Paterson | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2022-12-19 | @ | Mary Washington | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2022-12-20 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 37 - 79 |
| 2023-01-04 | @ | TCNJ | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Montclair St. | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2023-01-11 | vs | Kean | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 79 - 74 |
| 2023-01-16 | vs | Rosemont | W | 86 - 75 |
| 2023-01-18 | @ | Rowan | L | 69 - 107 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Ramapo | W | 88 - 63 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 75 - 49 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ | Wm. Paterson | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Montclair St. | W | 93 - 86 |
| 2023-02-08 | vs | TCNJ | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2023-02-15 | @ | Kean | L | 84 - 93 |
| 2023-02-21 | vs | Montclair St. | W | 91 - 86 |
| 2023-02-24 | @ | Rowan | L | 88 - 103 |
| 2023-03-03 | vs | La Roche | W | 86 - 70 |
| 2023-03-04 | vs | Mary Washington | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2023-03-10 | @ | Nichols | L | 68 - 86 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.