Stockton Ospreys
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1083 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1066 (#216) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1081 (#115) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#107) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.3 (#344) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.634 (#375) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.719 (#30) | NetEff +9.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.621 (#307) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.614 (#307) | AdjNet +4.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.575 (#309) | AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.609 (#203) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.582 (#329) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.593 (#325) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1107 (#165) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-12 | vs | Arcadia | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | Neumann | W | 91 - 62 |
| 2021-11-17 | @ | Salisbury | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2021-11-23 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 113 - 56 |
| 2021-11-27 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2021-11-28 | @ | Elmira | W | 77 - 39 |
| 2021-12-01 | @ | Rowan | W | 98 - 69 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Ramapo | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2021-12-08 | vs | TCNJ | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | Montclair St. | W | 89 - 82 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ | Rosemont | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-05 | @ | Kean | L | 75 - 83 |
| 2022-01-08 | @ | Wm. Paterson | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2022-01-12 | vs | New Jersey City | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 75 - 54 |
| 2022-01-19 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 73 - 50 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Ramapo | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Rowan | W | 96 - 91 |
| 2022-01-31 | @ | Montclair St. | W | 90 - 78 |
| 2022-02-02 | @ | TCNJ | L | 77 - 92 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Wm. Paterson | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | vs | DeSales | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Kean | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2022-02-16 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 89 - 70 |
| 2022-02-22 | vs | TCNJ | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2022-02-24 | vs | Montclair St. | W | 92 - 78 |
| 2022-02-26 | vs | Rowan | W | 95 - 91 |
| 2022-03-04 | vs | Wilson | W | 87 - 52 |
| 2022-03-05 | vs | Johns Hopkins | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2022-03-11 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 54 - 93 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.