Stockton Ospreys
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1083 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1066 (#216) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1081 (#115) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#107) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.3 (#344) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.634 (#375) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.719 (#30) | NetEff +9.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.621 (#307) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.614 (#307) | AdjNet +4.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.575 (#309) | AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.609 (#203) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.582 (#329) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.593 (#325) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1111 (#162) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-05 | vs | TCNJ | L | 81 - 89 |
| 2021-02-06 | @ | TCNJ | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2021-02-12 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2021-02-13 | @ | New Jersey City | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2021-02-19 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 82 - 50 |
| 2021-02-20 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2021-03-05 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 67 - 45 |
| 2021-03-12 | @ | TCNJ | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2021-03-19 | @ | New Jersey City | L | 77 - 79 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.