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Stetson

Also known as: Stetson Hatters
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 823 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 907 (#247) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 975 (#218) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -8.2 (#291) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -6.5 (#267) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.317 (#277) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.9 More โ†’ 0.204 (#284) AdjNet -11.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.0 More โ†’ 0.201 (#285) AdjNet -12.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.7 More โ†’ 0.336 (#289) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 66.3 More โ†’ 0.415 (#259) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 66.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.315 (#277) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.330 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 90 | GP 31 More โ†’ 874 (#267) RD 90 | GP 31

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Trinity College of Jacksonville Eagles W 84 - 26
2019-11-09 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks W 77 - 75
2019-11-16 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 55 - 79
2019-11-18 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 51 - 86
2019-11-22 @ Iona Gaels L 55 - 60
2019-11-23 vs Monmouth Hawks W 63 - 55
2019-11-24 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 64 - 70
2019-11-26 vs Florida College FLORIDA COLLEGE W 72 - 60
2019-11-30 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 53 - 77
2019-12-03 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 72 - 67
2019-12-07 @ VMI Keydets L 61 - 88
2019-12-15 vs Longwood Lancers L 72 - 76
2019-12-17 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 76 - 78
2019-12-22 vs Florida International Panthers L 67 - 83
2019-12-30 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 63 - 56
2020-01-02 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 63 - 66
2020-01-04 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 57 - 54
2020-01-11 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 62 - 66
2020-01-16 @ North Alabama Lions W 54 - 49
2020-01-18 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 64 - 59
2020-01-23 vs NJIT Highlanders W 65 - 64
2020-01-25 vs Liberty Flames W 48 - 43
2020-01-30 @ North Florida Ospreys L 65 - 78
2020-02-01 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 55 - 53
2020-02-06 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 65 - 62
2020-02-13 vs North Alabama Lions W 75 - 64
2020-02-15 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 59 - 42
2020-02-20 @ NJIT Highlanders L 69 - 78
2020-02-22 @ Liberty Flames L 49 - 77
2020-02-27 vs North Florida Ospreys L 72 - 85
2020-02-29 vs Jacksonville Dolphins L 52 - 53
2020-03-03 vs North Alabama Lions W 82 - 72
2020-03-05 @ Liberty Flames L 62 - 66

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rob Perry Rob Perry - 31 32.6 14.8 5.0 1.5 1.0 0.2 2.3 0.5 19.6 - - - - 41.2 42.9 100.0 - 1283.6 50.0
Mahamadou Diawara Mahamadou Diawara - 31 26.0 12.0 6.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 3.1 0.7 16.3 - - - - 60.9 33.3 72.7 - 668.1 63.0
Christiaan Jones Christiaan Jones G 31 29.9 9.9 3.6 1.3 1.2 0.3 1.6 0.6 14.1 - - - - 42.1 33.3 63.6 - 646.0 50.0
Jahlil Rawley Jahlil Rawley G 31 25.8 7.3 3.2 1.6 1.5 0.3 1.3 0.3 12.3 - - - - 62.5 50.0 0 - 1406.2 68.8
Kenny Aninye Kenny Aninye G 31 23.2 5.2 2.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 1.1 0.3 8.5 - - - - 12.5 0.0 75.0 - 829.9 12.5
Joel Kabimba Joel Kabimba F 31 19.8 5.2 3.6 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.4 0.4 8.4 - - - - 45.5 0.0 80.0 - 613.6 45.5
Terry Ivery Terry Ivery - 24 11.8 2.3 1.1 1.6 0.6 0.0 1.2 0.0 4.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jalen Crutchfield Jalen Crutchfield G 19 7.9 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 3.1 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 400.0 0.0
Jaret Griffith Jaret Griffith - 7 4.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.9 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ricky Gouety Ricky Gouety F 8 3.9 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alex Ionesco Alex Ionesco G 6 2.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.8 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Cyriaque Foucart Cyriaque Foucart - 13 6.5 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG