Stetson
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 823 (#278) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 907 (#247) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 975 (#218) | HCA +96 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -8.2 (#291) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -6.5 (#267) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.317 (#277) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.204 (#284) | AdjNet -11.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.201 (#285) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.336 (#289) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.415 (#259) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.315 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.330 (#271) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 874 (#267) | RD 90 | GP 31 |
2020 Schedule & Results
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rob Perry
|
- | 31 | 32.6 | 14.8 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 19.6 | - | - | - | - | 41.2 | 42.9 | 100.0 | - | 1283.6 | 50.0 |
Mahamadou Diawara
|
- | 31 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 16.3 | - | - | - | - | 60.9 | 33.3 | 72.7 | - | 668.1 | 63.0 |
Christiaan Jones
|
G | 31 | 29.9 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 14.1 | - | - | - | - | 42.1 | 33.3 | 63.6 | - | 646.0 | 50.0 |
Jahlil Rawley
|
G | 31 | 25.8 | 7.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 12.3 | - | - | - | - | 62.5 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 1406.2 | 68.8 |
Kenny Aninye
|
G | 31 | 23.2 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 829.9 | 12.5 |
Joel Kabimba
|
F | 31 | 19.8 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 8.4 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 | - | 613.6 | 45.5 |
Terry Ivery
|
- | 24 | 11.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Jalen Crutchfield
|
G | 19 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 400.0 | 0.0 |
Jaret Griffith
|
- | 7 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Ricky Gouety
|
F | 8 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Alex Ionesco
|
G | 6 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Cyriaque Foucart
|
- | 13 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG