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Stetson

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Also known as: Stetson Hatters
Program History
Coach: Derek Waugh

2006 Team Stats (5 games)

67.8
PPG
76.0
Opp
-8.2
Margin
41.4%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
78.6%
FT%
33.4
RPG
10.8
APG
17.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.8
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#279
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 937 (#204) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 884 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More → 1054 (#87) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → -9.0 (#284) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.1 (#276) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.384 (#221) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.4 More → 0.176 (#281) AdjNet -13.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.6 More → 0.172 (#281) AdjNet -13.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.328 (#279) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.447 (#218) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.352 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.375 (#232) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 32 More → 929 (#212) RD 150 | GP 32

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 @ NC State Wolfpack L 61 - 91
2005-11-19 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 64 - 67
2005-11-20 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 60 - 73
2005-11-26 @ UCF Knights L 66 - 74
2005-12-01 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 70 - 84
2005-12-03 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 68 - 70
2005-12-06 vs South Florida Bulls L 52 - 77
2005-12-17 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 50 - 70
2005-12-20 @ Florida State Seminoles L 57 - 75
2005-12-27 @ Miami Hurricanes L 56 - 65
2006-01-02 vs North Florida Ospreys W 52 - 40
2006-01-05 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 69 - 57
2006-01-09 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 62 - 77
2006-01-14 @ Belmont Bruins L 79 - 87
2006-01-16 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 52 - 57
2006-01-19 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 72 - 81
2006-01-21 vs Kennesaw State Owls L 57 - 73
2006-01-24 vs Mercer Bears L 81 - 82
2006-01-28 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 74 - 71
2006-01-30 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 80 - 68
2006-02-02 vs Savannah State Tigers W 70 - 60
2006-02-04 vs Belmont Bruins L 68 - 75
2006-02-06 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 85 - 67
2006-02-10 @ Mercer Bears W 73 - 72
2006-02-12 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 56 - 49
2006-02-15 @ Savannah State Tigers W 62 - 53
2006-02-17 @ North Florida Ospreys W 81 - 77
2006-02-19 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 81 - 66
2006-02-23 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 81 - 79
2006-02-25 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 77 - 65
2006-03-02 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 54 - 44
2006-03-03 @ Belmont Bruins L 59 - 72

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.