Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | -4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -7 (68-75). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Goodwin | 32 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Justin Hare | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Boomer Herndon | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Andy Wicke | 23 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Brian Collins | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matthew Dotson | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Preston | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Jones | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Oliver | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Henry Harris | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Register | 35 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E.J. Gordon | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Gabe McMillen | 27 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Garfield Blair | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kris Thomas | 20 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Hirst | 19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Eric Diaz | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Karl Hollingsworth | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chief Kickingstallionsims | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter