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Stetson

Also known as: Stetson Hatters
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 769 (#269) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 899 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 932 (#244) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -10.1 (#272) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -10.4 (#277) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.235 (#276) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.4 More โ†’ 0.159 (#269) AdjNet -14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.7 More โ†’ 0.155 (#269) AdjNet -14.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 78.1 More โ†’ 0.303 (#271) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 78.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 74.7 More โ†’ 0.356 (#275) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 74.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.266 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.275 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 173 | GP 25 More โ†’ 889 (#237) RD 173 | GP 25

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-19 @ College of Charleston L 58 - 74
2001-11-24 @ Birmingham-Southern W 82 - 69
2001-11-29 @ Florida Atlantic L 71 - 82
2001-12-01 @ Jacksonville L 57 - 67
2001-12-06 vs Western Carolina W 104 - 102
2001-12-16 vs Belmont W 106 - 95
2001-12-22 @ Texas Tech L 47 - 101
2001-12-28 @ Florida L 66 - 94
2002-01-02 @ UCF L 69 - 75
2002-01-05 vs Samford L 67 - 89
2002-01-07 vs Jacksonville State W 89 - 83
2002-01-10 @ Georgia State L 73 - 89
2002-01-12 @ Campbell L 82 - 91
2002-01-17 vs Troy L 68 - 94
2002-01-19 vs Mercer W 76 - 71
2002-01-22 vs Jacksonville W 68 - 58
2002-01-26 @ Troy L 65 - 68
2002-01-28 @ Mercer W 58 - 55
2002-02-02 vs Campbell W 72 - 69
2002-02-04 vs Georgia State L 79 - 94
2002-02-07 @ Jacksonville State L 78 - 90
2002-02-09 @ Samford L 50 - 57
2002-02-14 @ Belmont W 82 - 79
2002-02-21 vs UCF L 65 - 78
2002-02-23 vs Florida Atlantic L 74 - 77

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.