Stetson
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 769 (#269) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 899 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 932 (#244) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -10.1 (#272) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -10.4 (#277) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.235 (#276) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.159 (#269) | AdjNet -14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.155 (#269) | AdjNet -14.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.303 (#271) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 78.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.356 (#275) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.266 (#269) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.275 (#270) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 889 (#237) | RD 173 | GP 25 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-19 | @ | College of Charleston | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2001-11-24 | @ | Birmingham-Southern | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2001-11-29 | @ | Florida Atlantic | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2001-12-01 | @ | Jacksonville | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2001-12-06 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 104 - 102 |
| 2001-12-16 | vs | Belmont | W | 106 - 95 |
| 2001-12-22 | @ | Texas Tech | L | 47 - 101 |
| 2001-12-28 | @ | Florida | L | 66 - 94 |
| 2002-01-02 | @ | UCF | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2002-01-05 | vs | Samford | L | 67 - 89 |
| 2002-01-07 | vs | Jacksonville State | W | 89 - 83 |
| 2002-01-10 | @ | Georgia State | L | 73 - 89 |
| 2002-01-12 | @ | Campbell | L | 82 - 91 |
| 2002-01-17 | vs | Troy | L | 68 - 94 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | Mercer | W | 76 - 71 |
| 2002-01-22 | vs | Jacksonville | W | 68 - 58 |
| 2002-01-26 | @ | Troy | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2002-01-28 | @ | Mercer | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2002-02-02 | vs | Campbell | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2002-02-04 | vs | Georgia State | L | 79 - 94 |
| 2002-02-07 | @ | Jacksonville State | L | 78 - 90 |
| 2002-02-09 | @ | Samford | L | 50 - 57 |
| 2002-02-14 | @ | Belmont | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2002-02-21 | vs | UCF | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2002-02-23 | vs | Florida Atlantic | L | 74 - 77 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.