Stetson
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 731 (#274) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 874 (#241) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 939 (#228) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.0 (#271) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.7 (#274) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.352 (#221) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.156 (#271) | AdjNet -14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.153 (#271) | AdjNet -14.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.306 (#270) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.360 (#265) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.259 (#264) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.268 (#264) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 854 (#246) | RD 159 | GP 27 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-22 | vs | Furman | W | 63 - 60 |
| 1999-11-26 | @ | NC State | L | 45 - 79 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Jacksonville State | L | 52 - 57 |
| 1999-12-06 | @ | Mercer | W | 77 - 74 |
| 1999-12-08 | @ | The Citadel | W | 70 - 60 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 73 - 76 |
| 1999-12-20 | @ | Vanderbilt | L | 62 - 94 |
| 1999-12-22 | @ | Belmont | W | 67 - 57 |
| 1999-12-28 | N | Weber State | L | 81 - 82 |
| 1999-12-29 | @ | Florida A&M | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2000-01-04 | vs | Samford | L | 57 - 73 |
| 2000-01-08 | @ | Campbell | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2000-01-10 | @ | Georgia State | L | 64 - 79 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Jacksonville | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2000-01-20 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 76 - 56 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | UCF | W | 88 - 86 |
| 2000-01-24 | @ | Troy | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Florida Atlantic | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2000-01-31 | @ | UCF | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2000-02-03 | vs | Troy | W | 88 - 71 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Mercer | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2000-02-10 | @ | Samford | L | 57 - 92 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Jacksonville State | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2000-02-17 | vs | Georgia State | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Campbell | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Jacksonville | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2000-03-01 | N | Florida Atlantic | L | 56 - 66 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.