Stetson
Model Outputs
1996-1997
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 713 (#276) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 753 (#286) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 889 (#274) | HCA +127 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.5 (#279) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.4 (#275) | HCA +3.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.252 (#253) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.091 (#283) | AdjNet -20.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.089 (#283) | AdjNet -20.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.251 (#277) | AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.348 (#259) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.197 (#281) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.212 (#280) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 759 (#277) | RD 159 | GP 25 |
1997 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-11-25 | @ | Furman | L | 49 - 53 |
| 1996-11-27 | vs | William & Mary | W | 73 - 68 |
| 1996-11-30 | @ | Milwaukee | L | 56 - 68 |
| 1996-12-14 | @ | Florida | L | 47 - 57 |
| 1996-12-17 | @ | Mississippi | L | 50 - 78 |
| 1996-12-21 | vs | Youngstown State | L | 54 - 72 |
| 1996-12-28 | vs | Southern Methodist | L | 52 - 72 |
| 1996-12-30 | vs | The Citadel | W | 52 - 50 |
| 1997-01-02 | vs | Samford | L | 45 - 46 |
| 1997-01-04 | vs | Jacksonville State | W | 86 - 78 |
| 1997-01-09 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1997-01-11 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 68 - 62 |
| 1997-01-16 | @ | Georgia State | L | 52 - 57 |
| 1997-01-18 | vs | Mercer | W | 75 - 67 |
| 1997-01-23 | @ | Florida International | L | 72 - 78 |
| 1997-01-25 | @ | Florida Atlantic | L | 55 - 72 |
| 1997-01-30 | vs | Campbell | L | 66 - 80 |
| 1997-02-01 | vs | College of Charleston | L | 56 - 77 |
| 1997-02-03 | @ | UCF | W | 71 - 59 |
| 1997-02-06 | @ | Campbell | L | 66 - 78 |
| 1997-02-08 | @ | College of Charleston | L | 44 - 62 |
| 1997-02-15 | vs | UCF | W | 85 - 70 |
| 1997-02-20 | vs | Florida Atlantic | L | 60 - 62 |
| 1997-02-22 | vs | Florida International | L | 77 - 85 |
| 1997-02-27 | N | Samford | L | 51 - 60 |
1997 Roster
No roster data available for this season.