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Sterling (KS)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Sterling (KS)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 967 (#287) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 921 (#408) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 964 (#455) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -16.8 (#515) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.018 (#609) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.0 More → 0.183 (#562) AdjNet -13.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.6 More → 0.184 (#562) AdjNet -12.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 84.5 More → 0.279 (#570) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 84.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.339 (#515) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 79.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.269 (#498) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.275 (#498) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 287 | GP 2 More → 840 (#425) RD 287 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-25 @ Fort Hays St. L 61 - 78
2025-12-17 @ Emporia St. L 58 - 101

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gavin Dobbins - 1 10.7 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 7.0 - - - 80.0 66.7 0.0 - 86.2 90.0
Julian Smith - 2 14.4 11.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 8.0 6.5 98 4.9 25.3 50.0 42.9 100.0 4.05 64.8 59.4
Mooch Austin - 2 17.9 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.5 127 6.0 26.6 42.9 66.7 100.0 1.28 53.8 50.0
Elias Ngoga - 2 17.2 5.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 7.0 1.0 - - - 21.4 25.0 100.0 - 37.0 32.1
Monem Aboud - 2 14.8 5.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 6.5 -0.5 - - - 30.8 33.3 0 - 42.3 42.3
Cedric Wilson - 2 11.2 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 0.5 3 0.3 4.4 28.6 33.3 0 0.75 42.9 42.9
Trey McClure - 2 10.3 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 -74 -3.2 -22.5 33.3 33.3 100.0 -2.58 64.4 50.0
Tanez Brown - 2 16.9 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.0 -1.0 7 0.3 5.6 12.5 20.0 0.0 1.91 17.8 18.8
Damond Daniels - 2 9.6 1.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.0 23 5.8 28.7 14.3 33.3 0 1.34 21.4 21.4
Jayden Garrison - 2 15.4 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 10.1 0.0
Titus Stegall - 2 7.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Camden Carr - 2 13.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 3.5 -9 -0.4 -4.9 33.3 0.0 0 2.69 33.3 33.3
Jimmy Causey - 2 7.7 0.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Eric Smith - 1 7.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 63 3.0 35.9 0.0 0.0 0 1.46 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG