Stephen F. Austin
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1029 (#146) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1102 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1082 (#57) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.1 (#165) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.1 (#174) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.761 (#34) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.518 (#158) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.513 (#159) | AdjNet +0.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.532 (#145) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.588 (#79) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 62.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.557 (#135) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.568 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1069 (#116) | RD 133 | GP 27 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-23 | @ | Texas | L | 55 - 81 |
| 2002-12-03 | vs | Centenary (LA) | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | Texas Southern | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Oral Roberts | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2002-12-19 | vs | Jackson State | W | 103 - 79 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Texas State | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | McNeese | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2003-01-09 | @ | Nicholls State | W | 66 - 39 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2003-01-16 | vs | Lamar | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Sam Houston | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ | UTSA | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Northwestern State | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2003-02-05 | @ | UT Arlington | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | McNeese | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2003-02-13 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 84 - 56 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2003-02-20 | @ | Lamar | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Sam Houston | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2003-02-27 | vs | UTSA | W | 76 - 45 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Texas State | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2003-03-05 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2003-03-07 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2003-03-12 | vs | Texas State | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2003-03-14 | @ | Sam Houston | L | 66 - 69 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.