Stephen F. Austin
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 912 (#191) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 984 (#162) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1029 (#112) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.5 (#216) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.5 (#218) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.511 (#143) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.318 (#207) | AdjNet -6.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.316 (#207) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.408 (#206) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.464 (#179) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 75.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.418 (#189) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.429 (#186) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 960 (#179) | RD 129 | GP 26 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-12-01 | N | Idaho State | W | 88 - 84 |
| 1995-12-02 | @ | Missouri State | L | 81 - 105 |
| 1995-12-08 | N | Louisiana Tech | L | 58 - 68 |
| 1995-12-09 | N | Cal State Northridge | W | 95 - 90 |
| 1995-12-18 | @ | UCLA | L | 88 - 109 |
| 1995-12-30 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 91 - 71 |
| 1996-01-04 | vs | UTSA | W | 99 - 82 |
| 1996-01-06 | vs | Texas State | W | 63 - 62 |
| 1996-01-11 | @ | UT Arlington | L | 78 - 88 |
| 1996-01-13 | @ | North Texas | L | 66 - 75 |
| 1996-01-17 | @ | Sam Houston | W | 87 - 72 |
| 1996-01-22 | @ | Northwestern State | W | 83 - 68 |
| 1996-01-25 | vs | Nicholls State | L | 54 - 71 |
| 1996-01-27 | vs | McNeese | W | 94 - 73 |
| 1996-02-01 | @ | Texas State | W | 69 - 64 |
| 1996-02-03 | @ | UTSA | L | 71 - 75 |
| 1996-02-08 | vs | North Texas | L | 65 - 72 |
| 1996-02-10 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 78 - 74 |
| 1996-02-15 | vs | Sam Houston | W | 74 - 65 |
| 1996-02-19 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 90 - 97 |
| 1996-02-22 | @ | McNeese | W | 69 - 66 |
| 1996-02-24 | @ | Nicholls State | W | 76 - 58 |
| 1996-02-27 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 76 - 70 |
| 1996-02-29 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 82 - 92 |
| 1996-03-06 | N | McNeese | W | 94 - 91 |
| 1996-03-08 | N | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 73 - 92 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.