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Stanislaus State

Season: 2025 2024 2022 2011 2008 2007 2006 2004
Also known as: Stanislaus State Warriors
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 851 (#723) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 849 (#725) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 994 (#385) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -6.9 (#601) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -8.2 (#452) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 68.9 More → 0.446 (#475) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 68.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.293 (#470) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.312 (#482) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 899 (#474) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-16 @ Pacific Tigers L 46 - 65
2021-12-14 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 39 - 76

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Salgado L. Salgado F 2 22.0 8.0 1.5 1.0 3.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 13.5 - - - 0 0 0 0.11 0 0
T. Singleton T. Singleton - 2 32.5 6.5 3.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.58 0 0
B. Zecic B. Zecic - 2 30.5 5.0 5.0 2.5 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 12.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
K. Cummins K. Cummins - 2 13.5 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Fallay M. Fallay - 2 19.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.46 0 0
R. Farias R. Farias - 1 13.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
W. Pallesi W. Pallesi - 2 19.5 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
O. Smith O. Smith - 1 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Williams T. Williams - 2 12.5 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 3.0 -95 -5.3 -13.3 0 0 0 1.06 0 0
J. Jones J. Jones - 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 80 2.4 3.6 0 0 0 0.3 0 0
B. Sahi B. Sahi G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. Boone M. Boone G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Drew Nelson Drew Nelson C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - 0.22 - -
M. Bender M. Bender - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Bockler L. Bockler G 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 14 1.2 11.2 0 0 0 0.02 0 0
G. Oliveira G. Oliveira G 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG