Stanislaus St.
Also known as: Stanislaus St.
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#345) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 982 (#265) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 974 (#421) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.9 (#172) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.6 (#356) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.227 (#472) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#42) | NetEff +59.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.484 (#422) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.488 (#420) | AdjNet -0.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.518 (#408) | AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.514 (#274) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.513 (#307) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.507 (#305) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1013 (#216) | RD 136 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | vs | Dominican (CA) | W | 103 - 79 |
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Jessup | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Jessup | L | 68 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Fresno Pacific | W | 65 - 50 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Minn. Duluth | L | 58 - 89 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Menlo | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Dominican (CA) | W | 93 - 89 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | San Fran. St. | W | 94 - 46 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 56 - 97 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Cal Maritime | W | 105 - 43 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Chico St. | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | CSUSB | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 88 - 93 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 56 - 57 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | San Fran. St. | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 57 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | - | 3 | 26.7 | 19.3 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 24.3 | - | - | - | 51.6 | 56.2 | 73.9 | - | 70.5 | 66.1 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | - | 2 | 34.9 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | -30 | -1.2 | -55.0 | 42.3 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -0.41 | 51.2 | 44.2 |
| Jayden Teat | - | 3 | 21.5 | 14.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 8.3 | - | - | - | 45.2 | 47.6 | 85.7 | - | 64.6 | 61.3 |
| Davion Butler | - | 1 | 18.2 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | -20 | -1.1 | -9.7 | 40.0 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 2.38 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Donjae Lindsey | - | 12 | 22.1 | 13.0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 57 | 3.6 | 19.9 | 56.2 | 52.2 | 81.8 | 0.13 | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Malachi Johnson | - | 16 | 26.1 | 12.6 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 9.9 | 11.2 | 9 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 49.4 | 34.0 | 84.8 | 0.67 | 58.3 | 54.7 |
| Jahni Summers | - | 3 | 19.1 | 11.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 6.7 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 52.9 | 50.0 | - | 80.4 | 82.5 |
| Mikey Williams | - | 3 | 30.9 | 11.3 | 3.7 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 11.3 | 78 | 4.1 | 127.2 | 38.7 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 2.89 | 49.2 | 45.2 |
| Conner Barney | - | 1 | 17.4 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 68.3 | 58.3 |
| Lloyd French | - | 16 | 27.7 | 9.8 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 7.9 | 37 | 1.9 | 11.9 | 43.0 | 27.3 | 53.5 | 2.06 | 48.8 | 47.2 |
| Jason Zimmer | - | 12 | 24.9 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 100 | 7.1 | 144.3 | 42.2 | 44.2 | 83.3 | 0.06 | 59.4 | 56.0 |
| Daniel Ameyaw | - | 16 | 25.5 | 8.9 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 30 | 1.4 | 16.2 | 50.5 | 22.2 | 50.8 | -0.97 | 52.6 | 51.4 |
| Jason Cibull | - | 16 | 22.4 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 3.5 | -55 | -2.6 | -44.3 | 36.1 | 36.5 | 90.0 | -1.08 | 50.9 | 46.8 |
| Hayden Kloos | - | 1 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 71.7 | 62.5 |
| Brandon Gardner | - | 3 | 14.5 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 110 | 7.9 | 46.7 | 66.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 2.34 | 75.1 | 70.8 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | - | 3 | 17.7 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 61.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | - | 67.0 | 69.2 |
| Mark Jones III | - | 15 | 18.1 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 42.9 | 14.3 | 64.1 | 1.01 | 51.3 | 44.6 |
| Aaron Keykal | - | 1 | 15.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Taj Glover | - | 3 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 5 | 0.3 | 5.3 | 38.5 | 16.7 | 75.0 | 0.68 | 47.4 | 42.3 |
| Mark Lavrenov | - | 3 | 9.9 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | - | 63.7 | 56.2 |
| Koy Nelson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Drey Wisdom | - | 1 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Javon Johnson | - | 14 | 13.9 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 18 | 1.1 | 31.8 | 40.0 | 31.0 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 49.2 | 48.2 |
| Tahjae Ordonio | - | 14 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 5 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 48.6 | 42.9 | 91.7 | 1.74 | 62.7 | 56.8 |
| Malik Johnson | - | 10 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 29 | 7.2 | 21.0 | 44.4 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 2.19 | 48.0 | 46.3 |
| Jayden Brown | - | 1 | 16.9 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 92 | 4.8 | 44.7 | 14.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.11 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Drelyn Jones | - | 1 | 17.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 | 65 | 3.2 | 44.9 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 1.08 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Anthony Newman-Gomez | - | 8 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 13 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 52.9 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.78 | 64.7 | 64.7 |
| Samuel Chavarin | - | 7 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 45.5 | 50.0 | - | 53.8 | 53.6 |
| Isaiah Bronson | - | 2 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Jeremiah Nyarko | - | 1 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Paul Harris | - | 1 | 12.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kobe Karels | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 43.1 | 0.0 |
| Owen Larsen | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Nebiyu Teklemariam | - | 1 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Romari Robinson | - | 3 | 14.2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | - | 46.0 | 50.0 |
| JJ Funk | - | 5 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 35.9 | 37.5 |
| Arman Madi | - | 3 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Jordan Smith | - | 16 | 9.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | -21 | -0.8 | -29.6 | 26.7 | 14.3 | 83.3 | 1.33 | 39.7 | 30.0 |
| Skylar Strickland | - | 4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| French Biltcliffe | - | 1 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Larsen | - | 1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Raymond | - | 1 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG