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Stanislaus St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Stanislaus St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 927 (#439) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 981 (#265) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 974 (#421) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +4.3 (#205) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -1.6 (#356) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.227 (#472) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +59.0 More → 0.999 (#42) NetEff +59.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.484 (#422) AdjNet -0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.4 More → 0.488 (#420) AdjNet -0.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 72.0 More → 0.518 (#408) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 72.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.514 (#274) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.513 (#307) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.506 (#305) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 18 More → 1012 (#212) RD 138 | GP 18

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-07 vs Jessup - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Jessup - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Fresno Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Minn. Duluth - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 @ Menlo - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs San Fran. St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 vs Saint Martin's - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Cal Maritime - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Cal Poly Humboldt - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Chico St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs CSUSB - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 vs Cal Poly Pomona - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 vs Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2026-01-08 @ Cal State LA - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs San Fran. St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Cal St. East Bay - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Davion Butler - 1 18.2 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 3.0 -20 -1.1 -9.7 40.0 80.0 100.0 2.18 64.3 60.0
Donjae Lindsey - 12 22.1 13.0 1.8 2.7 1.1 0.1 2.9 8.0 7.8 57 3.6 19.9 56.2 52.2 81.8 1.28 67.6 62.5
Malachi Johnson - 16 26.1 12.6 7.6 0.9 0.5 1.0 1.4 9.9 11.2 9 0.5 3.2 49.4 34.0 84.8 0.07 58.3 54.7
Conner Barney - 1 17.4 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 - 68.3 58.3
Lloyd French - 16 27.7 9.8 4.6 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.2 8.9 7.9 37 1.9 11.9 43.0 27.3 53.5 1.63 48.8 47.2
Jason Zimmer - 12 24.9 9.0 2.1 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.7 6.9 5.8 100 7.1 144.3 42.2 44.2 83.3 1.42 59.4 56.0
Daniel Ameyaw - 16 25.5 8.9 6.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 1.4 6.8 8.6 30 1.4 16.2 50.5 22.2 50.8 -2.17 52.6 51.4
Jason Cibull - 16 22.4 7.4 1.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 1.1 6.8 3.5 -55 -2.6 -44.3 36.1 36.5 90.0 -2.7 50.9 46.8
Hayden Kloos - 1 13.7 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 - 71.7 62.5
Mark Jones III - 15 18.1 5.0 2.1 2.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 3.7 5.4 5 0.2 2.5 42.9 14.3 64.1 1.58 51.3 44.6
Aaron Keykal - 1 15.1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 36.3 33.3
Koy Nelson - 1 19.0 4.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Drey Wisdom - 1 12.7 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Javon Johnson - 14 13.9 3.9 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 3.9 2.4 18 1.1 31.8 40.0 31.0 100.0 4.18 49.2 48.2
Tahjae Ordonio - 14 9.5 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 2.6 2.9 5 0.3 1.8 48.6 42.9 91.7 0.45 62.7 56.8
Malik Johnson - 10 11.9 3.1 2.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 2.7 3.4 29 7.2 21.0 44.4 12.5 50.0 -0.2 48.0 46.3
Jayden Brown - 1 16.9 3.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 92 4.8 44.7 14.3 33.3 0 -3.48 21.4 21.4
Drelyn Jones - 1 17.4 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -3.0 65 3.2 44.9 16.7 25.0 0 2.44 25.0 25.0
Anthony Newman-Gomez - 8 6.8 2.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.1 2.0 13 1.1 5.7 52.9 50.0 0 0.75 64.7 64.7
Samuel Chavarin - 7 6.3 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.0 - - - 35.7 45.5 50.0 3.81 53.8 53.6
Paul Harris - 1 12.3 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kobe Karels - 1 17.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 66.7 - 43.1 0.0
Owen Larsen - 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Nebiyu Teklemariam - 1 11.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
JJ Funk - 5 7.7 1.4 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.8 - - - 37.5 0 25.0 1.11 35.9 37.5
Jordan Smith - 16 9.2 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.9 1.2 -21 -0.8 -29.6 26.7 14.3 83.3 0.61 39.7 30.0
Skylar Strickland - 4 1.9 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
French Biltcliffe - 1 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ian Larsen - 1 6.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ben Raymond - 1 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG