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Stanford Cardinal

2016 Team Stats (7 games)

67.3
PPG
73.4
Opp
-6.1
Margin
40.6%
FG%
25.4%
3P%
63.6%
FT%
38.7
RPG
11.3
APG
12.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.8
Adj PPG
65.3
Adj Opp PPG
#101
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1094 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1098 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More โ†’ 969 (#213) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +6.5 (#93) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +2.2 (#135) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.405 (#215) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.2 More โ†’ 0.765 (#86) AdjNet +10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.4 More โ†’ 0.768 (#86) AdjNet +10.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.622 (#101) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 65.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 68.6 More โ†’ 0.467 (#194) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.603 (#122) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.572 (#128) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1096 (#110) RD 134 | GP 29

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 93 - 89
2015-11-15 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 93 - 59
2015-11-19 vs SMU Mustangs L 70 - 85
2015-11-22 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 61 - 78
2015-11-26 @ Villanova Wildcats L 45 - 59
2015-11-27 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 69 - 66
2015-12-12 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 64 - 50
2015-12-15 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 79 - 60
2015-12-19 vs Texas Longhorns L 73 - 75
2015-12-21 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 70 - 60
2015-12-27 vs Carroll (MT) Fighting Saints W 83 - 38
2016-01-01 vs Utah Utes W 70 - 68
2016-01-03 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 55 - 56
2016-01-06 @ Oregon State Beavers W 78 - 72
2016-01-10 @ Oregon Ducks L 58 - 71
2016-01-14 vs California Golden Bears W 77 - 71
2016-01-21 vs Arizona Wildcats L 57 - 71
2016-01-23 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 75 - 73
2016-01-27 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 75 - 91
2016-01-30 @ Utah Utes L 74 - 96
2016-02-06 @ California Golden Bears L 61 - 76
2016-02-11 vs Oregon State Beavers L 50 - 62
2016-02-13 vs Oregon Ducks W 76 - 72
2016-02-18 @ Washington State Cougars W 72 - 56
2016-02-20 @ Washington Huskies L 53 - 64
2016-02-25 vs USC Trojans W 84 - 64
2016-02-27 vs UCLA Bruins W 79 - 70
2016-03-03 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 64 - 74
2016-03-05 @ Arizona Wildcats L 62 - 94
2016-03-09 @ Washington Huskies L 68 - 91

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Allen R. Allen F 27 34.4 15.3 6.5 1.7 1.2 0.1 2.0 2.9 19.9 63 20 3.1 4.0 39.7 23.7 63.2 1.41 218.0 45.5
R. Travis R. Travis F 7 33.6 13.1 7.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 2.0 2.0 18.7 14 5 2.8 3.9 42.9 0 44.4 -1.36 209.9 42.9
D. Pickens D. Pickens G 27 29.5 12.1 3.8 1.7 1.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 15.0 90 20 4.5 6.7 39.7 23.3 66.7 4.34 187.4 44.5
M. Allen M. Allen G 25 31.8 11.2 4.0 1.8 1.4 0.0 1.6 2.1 14.8 16 18 0.9 1.2 40.4 26.7 76.7 0.7 214.0 44.2
M. Humphrey M. Humphrey F 27 24.1 10.2 6.3 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 16.2 74 20 3.7 6.1 44.9 0.0 65.2 1.86 232.6 44.9
M. Sheffield II M. Sheffield II G 25 17.2 6.2 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.1 1.7 7.3 50 19 2.6 7.2 50.0 50.0 60.0 3.2 153.5 57.1
C. Sanders C. Sanders G 25 21.7 4.5 2.2 2.8 0.6 0.0 1.6 0.9 7.6 17 19 0.9 1.7 27.3 25.0 100.0 -0.97 246.9 29.5
G. Verhoeven G. Verhoeven C 24 15.1 3.5 2.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.9 5.3 -17 18 -0.9 -3.0 45.5 33.3 80.0 -1.93 161.0 47.7
M. Allen M. Allen C 25 11.9 2.5 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.0 0.8 3.0 -10 18 -0.6 -2.4 40.0 20.0 50.0 -2.94 142.5 42.5
J. Sharma J. Sharma C 24 7.6 1.8 1.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.6 3.5 10 18 0.6 3.7 35.7 0.0 60.0 -1.71 129.6 35.7
C. Walker C. Walker F 22 9.7 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 2.5 22 16 1.4 6.1 0.0 0.0 41.7 -0.04 119.7 0.0
J. Hanson J. Hanson G 3 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.9 0 0
I. Proulx I. Proulx G 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.94 0 0
A. Seutin A. Seutin F 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.94 0 0
A. Adedeji A. Adedeji - 2 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG