St. Thomas - Minnesota Tommies - 2026

St. Thomas - Minnesota Tommies

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022

Also known as: St. Thomas Tommies

Program History

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

81.8

PPG

71.6

Opp

+10.2

Margin

50.6%

FG%

36.1%

3P%

68.0%

FT%

33.6

RPG

16.8

APG

9.8

76.5

Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1091 (#100)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1116 (#82)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More →	1066 (#82)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More →	+3.0 (#129)	-
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More →	+1.7 (#140)	-
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.800 (#45)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More →	Unavailable	Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More →	Unavailable	Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More →	Unavailable	Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More →	0.571 (#121)	-
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More →	0.590 (#83)	-
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More →	Unavailable	Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More →	Unavailable	Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More →	1040 (#146)	-

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	@	Saint Mary's Gaels	L	58 - 84
2025-11-08	vs	Army Black Knights	W	83 - 76
2025-11-10	@	Washington State Cougars	L	71 - 81
2025-11-13	vs	Green Bay Phoenix	W	80 - 61
2025-11-15	@	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	W	84 - 72
2025-11-21	vs	Northern Colorado Bears	W	73 - 72
2025-11-22	@	Cal State Fullerton Titans	L	80 - 88
2025-11-23	@	Portland Pilots	W	76 - 66
2025-11-29	vs	Lawrence Vikings	W	87 - 52
2025-12-03	@	Montana State Bobcats	L	74 - 82
2025-12-07	vs	Weber State Wildcats	W	88 - 65
2025-12-11	vs	Saint John's (MN) Johnnies	W	80 - 56
2025-12-13	@	UNC Asheville Bulldogs	W	80 - 59
2025-12-20	vs	UC Riverside Highlanders	W	92 - 78
2025-12-28	vs	North Central Rams	W	105 - 59
2026-01-04	vs	Denver Pioneers	W	92 - 88
2026-01-07	vs	South Dakota Coyotes	W	99 - 86
2026-01-10	@	Oral Roberts Golden Eagles	W	82 - 71
2026-01-15	@	North Dakota Fighting Hawks	W	91 - 80
2026-01-17	@	North Dakota State Bison	L	65 - 68
2026-01-22	vs	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	W	74 - 69
2026-01-24	@	South Dakota Coyotes	W	90 - 78
2026-01-29	vs	North Dakota Fighting Hawks	L	80 - 81
2026-02-01	vs	Kansas City Roos	W	99 - 64
2026-02-04	@	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	W	77 - 62
2026-02-07	vs	Oral Roberts Golden Eagles	W	92 - 75
2026-02-12	@	Omaha Mavericks	L	94 - 98
2026-02-14	@	Kansas City Roos	W	104 - 64
2026-02-21	@	Denver Pioneers	L	80 - 82
2026-02-26	vs	North Dakota State Bison	W	84 - 62
2026-02-28	vs	Omaha Mavericks	W	68 - 53
2026-03-05	vs	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	W	80 - 67
2026-03-07	vs	North Dakota Fighting Hawks	L	66 - 67
2026-03-17	@	Seattle U Redhawks	L	52 - 67

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
N. Minessale	-	34	31.0	19.8	4.6	4.3	1.6	0.6	2.2	13.3	15.3	-	-	-	-	50.6	30.6	75.0	-	60.9	55.4
N. Janowski	-	34	31.5	16.1	5.1	2.1	0.7	0.2	1.3	12.2	10.8	-	-	-	-	49.5	33.9	64.1	-	58.7	57.0
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	33	21.4	10.5	4.0	1.1	0.6	0.6	1.3	7.0	8.6	-	-	-	-	54.3	32.5	66.7	-	62.7	60.0
C. Bjerke	-	34	24.9	9.4	3.4	1.2	0.5	0.3	0.7	6.5	7.4	-	-	-	-	49.5	44.9	58.8	-	67.3	67.3
B. Oosterbaan	-	34	24.0	7.6	4.2	1.6	0.9	0.3	0.8	5.9	7.9	-	-	-	-	49.8	36.8	69.2	-	60.5	59.5
R. Dufault	-	33	17.7	5.7	2.3	1.8	0.8	0.0	0.7	3.4	6.5	-	-	-	-	67.6	33.3	66.0	-	70.0	68.9
Austin Herro	-	27	23.9	5.5	4.0	3.5	1.7	0.5	1.3	3.4	10.4	-	-	-	-	52.7	37.8	72.0	-	64.3	60.2
J. Coleman	-	34	13.9	4.4	1.9	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.4	3.7	3.0	-	-	-	-	40.9	34.0	64.7	-	55.8	54.7
H. Tibbits	-	26	11.0	3.1	1.0	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.3	2.5	2.8	-	-	-	-	42.2	34.1	52.4	-	54.6	53.9
T. Franks	-	16	4.0	2.1	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.3	1.9	-	-	-	-	52.4	60.0	71.4	-	68.5	66.7
Tommy Humphries	G	10	3.8	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.3	0.7	-	-	-	-	30.8	25.0	33.3	-	34.9	34.6
K. Counts	-	5	3.8	1.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.6	0.8	-	-	-	-	66.7	50.0	0	-	83.3	83.3
R. Lafferty	-	11	13.5	1.0	1.9	1.3	0.8	0.1	1.1	1.1	2.9	-	-	-	-	41.7	20.0	0.0	-	42.7	45.8
A. Tauer	-	12	2.8	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	-	-	-	-	40.0	0.0	50.0	-	42.5	40.0
J. Tauer	-	11	1.7	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.5	-	-	-	-	50.0	100.0	0.0	-	45.2	75.0
Luka Momcilovic	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1971 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

N. MinessaleN. JanowskiC. BjerkeIsaiah Johnson-AriguB. OosterbaanJ. Coleman

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	504-699	72.1	1008	N. Minessale 24% (246 pts)	N. Janowski 23% (230 pts)	N. Minessale 27% (53 misses)	N. Janowski 21% (40 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	144-315	45.7	288	N. Minessale 38% (108 pts)	N. Janowski 16% (46 pts)	N. Minessale 36% (61 misses)	N. Janowski 22% (38 misses)
Mid-range left	9-24	37.5	18	Isaiah Johnson-Arigu 22% (4 pts)	N. Janowski 22% (4 pts)	N. Minessale 33% (5 misses)	N. Janowski 27% (4 misses)
Mid-range center	6-9	66.7	12	N. Janowski 50% (6 pts)	N. Minessale 33% (4 pts)	N. Janowski 67% (2 misses)	B. Oosterbaan 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right	7-20	35.0	14	N. Minessale 43% (6 pts)	Isaiah Johnson-Arigu 29% (4 pts)	N. Janowski 38% (5 misses)	N. Minessale 31% (4 misses)
Left corner 3	32-76	42.1	96	B. Oosterbaan 41% (39 pts)	C. Bjerke 19% (18 pts)	C. Bjerke 16% (7 misses)	B. Oosterbaan 14% (6 misses)
Right corner 3	41-118	34.7	123	C. Bjerke 17% (21 pts)	J. Coleman 17% (21 pts)	J. Coleman 26% (20 misses)	B. Oosterbaan 19% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 left	83-256	32.4	249	N. Minessale 25% (63 pts)	N. Janowski 22% (54 pts)	N. Janowski 25% (43 misses)	N. Minessale 22% (38 misses)
Above-break 3 center	47-154	30.5	141	C. Bjerke 38% (54 pts)	N. Janowski 19% (27 pts)	C. Bjerke 28% (30 misses)	N. Minessale 22% (24 misses)
Above-break 3 right	123-300	41.0	369	C. Bjerke 28% (105 pts)	N. Janowski 20% (75 pts)	N. Janowski 25% (44 misses)	N. Minessale 17% (30 misses)