St. Thomas Aquinas
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 772 (#519) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 788 (#505) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 917 (#597) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.7 (#277) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.9 (#522) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.298 (#444) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.130 (#388) | NetEff -13.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.144 (#562) | AdjNet -15.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.145 (#561) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.311 (#539) | AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.347 (#580) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.271 (#546) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.274 (#552) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 867 (#417) | RD 94 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | L | 85 - 95 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | American Int'l | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Assumption | L | 44 - 49 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Dominican (NY) | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | W | 77 - 60 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | W | 57 - 47 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 67 - 90 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Caldwell | L | 48 - 51 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Dist. Columbia | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Staten Island | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | D'Youville | L | 38 - 71 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Daemen | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Saint Michael's | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Jefferson | L | 43 - 58 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Bloomfield Col. | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Pace | L | 45 - 58 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Staten Island | L | 50 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Dist. Columbia | L | 51 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Molloy | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Queens (NY) | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Mercy | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Bridgeport | W | 44 - 39 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 92 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faith Feuerbach | - | 1 | 38.3 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 58.8 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 79.4 | 79.4 |
| Samantha Bautista | - | 1 | 24.9 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 70.0 | 50.0 | - | 93.2 | 95.8 |
| Macie Whitfield | - | 1 | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 55.6 | - | 58.5 | 57.1 |
| Alyssa Sand | - | 1 | 25.6 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 62.3 | 60.0 |
| Yasmine Aly | - | 1 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Bailey Chapman | - | 21 | 35.1 | 12.2 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 10.9 | 8.4 | -31 | -1.6 | -6.0 | 36.8 | 35.8 | 83.3 | 3.21 | 50.0 | 44.3 |
| Madison Lippy | - | 1 | 20.2 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Kenna Gibson | - | 1 | 26.4 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | - | 50.6 | 55.0 |
| Jada Hood | - | 1 | 25.6 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 64.4 | 50.0 |
| Laura Jones | - | 1 | 24.6 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | -2.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0 | 1.36 | 32.1 | 32.1 |
| Amyia Bowie | - | 1 | 26.6 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | - | 50.7 | 56.2 |
| Toni Schuetze | - | 20 | 16.5 | 8.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 7.1 | 3.2 | -50 | -2.6 | -18.4 | 37.3 | 33.3 | 74.1 | -1.31 | 51.0 | 45.1 |
| Jona Kabashi | - | 21 | 20.8 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 4.4 | -81 | -4.0 | -25.8 | 36.3 | 25.9 | 66.7 | -1.2 | 42.2 | 38.3 |
| Laura Hauge | - | 1 | 13.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Maddie Scharrenberg | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Branasia Brazelton | - | 1 | 17.4 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Cassidy Mahaney | - | 21 | 29.9 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 8.1 | 2.3 | -86 | -4.3 | -23.0 | 31.2 | 35.0 | 67.6 | -1.15 | 44.6 | 41.8 |
| Savannah McGowan | - | 1 | 22.6 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Jaliyah Weekes | - | 1 | 19.8 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 42.9 | - | 31.6 | 25.0 |
| Ja'Nya Ferguson | - | 1 | 23.7 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 40.0 | 28.6 |
| Mikayla Werner | - | 1 | 25.2 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 77.3 | 83.3 |
| Savannah Gage | - | 1 | 15.4 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Isabella Rivera | - | 1 | 24.6 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Kameron Goodman | - | 1 | 32.6 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 30.4 | 27.8 |
| Nora Aigberadion | - | 1 | 12.9 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Abby Jacoby | - | 21 | 24.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.5 | 4.0 | -18 | -0.9 | -4.9 | 35.7 | 39.1 | 94.1 | -1.69 | 50.2 | 46.5 |
| Delaney Finnegan | - | 21 | 31.8 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 4.4 | -54 | -2.7 | -11.3 | 31.7 | 14.8 | 81.8 | 0.78 | 39.8 | 33.3 |
| Trinity Cheatom | - | 11 | 22.8 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 4.4 | -40 | -5.0 | -21.0 | 42.2 | 25.0 | 81.2 | -0.74 | 52.8 | 46.7 |
| Iyana Morel | - | 21 | 17.3 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 12 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 40.2 | 18.2 | 65.2 | 2.47 | 44.6 | 41.3 |
| Julissa Danglade | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alaila Thomas | - | 4 | 13.9 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.8 | -3.0 | -14 | -4.7 | -21.7 | 22.2 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -0.69 | 26.9 | 24.1 |
| Vega Gil | - | 5 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 43.5 | 30.0 |
| Jaydia Morris | - | 1 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Isabella Leggett | - | 6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | -7 | -1.4 | -59.8 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.35 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Angela Williams | - | 19 | 9.3 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | -27 | -1.6 | -64.0 | 28.6 | 0 | 27.3 | 0.3 | 29.2 | 28.6 |
| Rose Cok | - | 5 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -20 | -3.3 | -64.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.42 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Katie Purpura | - | 7 | 6.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -4 | -0.8 | -18.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.77 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Addison Schliewe | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Autumn McCall | - | 1 | 15.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Abbey Vallance | - | 1 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kammie Ludwig | - | 1 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lydia Aalsma | - | 1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Taylor | - | 1 | 13.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sophia Taylor | - | 1 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Samantha Vales | - | 1 | 15.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kimora Lee | - | 1 | 14.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG