St. Thomas (TX)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#167) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1108 (#126) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1042 (#207) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.3 (#106) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.7 (#304) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.216 (#575) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.885 (#175) | NetEff +17.9 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.782 (#234) | NetEff +10.0 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.483 (#363) | NetEff -0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.385 (#420) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.375 (#419) | AdjNet -4.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.435 (#414) | AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.652 (#178) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.662 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.661 (#252) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1105 (#151) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | L | 85 - 95 |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | UIW | L | 72 - 86 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Whitman | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Whitworth | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Penn | L | 44 - 78 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | W | 69 - 55 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Wis.-Stout | W | 77 - 40 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Crown (MN) | W | 112 - 23 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Huston-Tillotson | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Colorado Col. | L | 41 - 65 |
| 2025-12-28 | vs | Manchester | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Austin | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Ozarks (AR) | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Hendrix | L | 68 - 83 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Schreiner | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Texas Lutheran | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | Concordia (TX) | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Schreiner | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | McMurry | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Sand | - | 2 | 19.1 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 9.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 47.4 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 56.6 | 52.6 |
| Amyia Bowie | - | 17 | 29.9 | 11.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 132 | 6.3 | 52.8 | 36.9 | 35.6 | 74.7 | 2.74 | 48.8 | 41.7 |
| Macie Whitfield | - | 14 | 26.7 | 10.9 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 55 | 2.9 | 26.2 | 47.9 | 57.1 | 61.4 | 0.65 | 53.1 | 49.6 |
| Faith Feuerbach | - | 2 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 68.3 | 58.3 |
| Mikayla Werner | - | 2 | 16.5 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 9.5 | 80 | 6.7 | 35.4 | 81.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.35 | 81.2 | 81.8 |
| Kenna Gibson | - | 16 | 19.1 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 55 | 2.8 | 32.9 | 40.8 | 38.2 | 78.3 | -1.33 | 54.6 | 51.7 |
| Abbey Vallance | - | 2 | 24.7 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 43.0 | 36.1 |
| Laura Hauge | - | 2 | 16.1 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 62.5 | 0 | - | 85.0 | 85.0 |
| Savannah McGowan | - | 2 | 15.5 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 70.8 | 70.8 |
| Lydia Aalsma | - | 2 | 21.1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 47.4 | 43.8 |
| Autumn McCall | - | 2 | 19.1 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 71.4 | - | 62.1 | 55.6 |
| Kameron Goodman | - | 17 | 22.8 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 20 | 1.2 | 9.6 | 37.5 | 31.4 | 65.2 | -1.51 | 46.5 | 44.2 |
| Jaydia Morris | - | 17 | 21.3 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 91 | 5.4 | 53.3 | 54.1 | 35.0 | 73.9 | -0.25 | 61.0 | 58.2 |
| Jada Hood | - | 2 | 13.6 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 130.0 | 130.0 |
| Laura Jones | - | 17 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 95 | 5.0 | 77.2 | 38.6 | 42.9 | 52.6 | -1.31 | 48.5 | 47.5 |
| Addison Schliewe | - | 2 | 16.8 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 47.0 | 54.5 |
| Savannah Gage | - | 2 | 16.3 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Branasia Brazelton | - | 17 | 22.2 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 53 | 2.6 | 32.0 | 40.5 | 13.3 | 65.8 | 2.43 | 47.9 | 41.9 |
| Yasmine Aly | - | 16 | 15.4 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 18 | 1.2 | 12.7 | 31.6 | 23.0 | 62.5 | -1.08 | 39.9 | 38.8 |
| Kammie Ludwig | - | 1 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Nora Aigberadion | - | 16 | 16.1 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 | -35 | -1.8 | -41.9 | 38.5 | 0 | 68.4 | 0.62 | 43.9 | 38.5 |
| Olivia Shook | - | 7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.1 | -0.9 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 22.2 | 60.0 | - | 32.0 | 26.7 |
| Kayla Barnett | - | 8 | 7.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -34 | -4.2 | -78.5 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.33 | 33.6 | 22.2 |
| Madison Stewart | - | 6 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | -0.3 | -44 | -8.8 | -97.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -3.79 | 37.6 | 25.0 |
| Aundrea Boston | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -110 | -10.0 | -31.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Nora Aigberadion | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -41.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG