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St. Thomas (TX)

Also known as: St. Thomas (TX)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1078 (#155) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1135 (#114) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1042 (#207) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +9.0 (#119) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +3.7 (#304) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.216 (#575) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.9 More → 0.885 (#175) NetEff +17.9
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.0 More → 0.782 (#234) NetEff +10.0
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.5 More → 0.483 (#363) NetEff -0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.1 More → 0.385 (#420) AdjNet -4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.3 More → 0.375 (#419) AdjNet -4.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.435 (#414) AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 62.0 More → 0.652 (#178) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 62.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.662 (#250) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.661 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 22 More → 1110 (#145) RD 104 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Tex. A&M Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-11-10 @ UIW - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Whitman - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Whitworth - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 vs Penn - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs East Tex. Baptist - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 vs Wis.-Stout - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Crown (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Huston-Tillotson - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Colorado Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-28 vs Manchester - Incomplete score
2026-01-11 vs Austin - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 @ Ozarks (AR) - Incomplete score
2026-01-18 @ Hendrix - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Schreiner - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Texas Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-02-01 @ Concordia (TX) - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 @ Schreiner - Incomplete score
2026-02-08 @ McMurry - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Amyia Bowie - 14 29.8 11.4 5.4 4.0 2.7 0.1 2.8 9.8 11.1 132 6.3 52.8 36.5 32.4 76.6 5.94 48.4 40.5
Macie Whitfield - 12 25.4 9.5 5.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 7.8 8.8 55 2.9 26.2 45.7 50.0 64.1 2.2 51.3 47.3
Kameron Goodman - 14 22.2 7.9 2.8 0.9 1.4 0.0 1.4 7.4 4.1 20 1.2 9.6 39.4 31.8 66.7 -2.5 48.6 46.2
Jaydia Morris - 14 21.9 7.7 4.5 1.0 1.1 0.2 1.0 5.8 7.7 91 5.4 53.3 53.1 33.3 76.2 0.34 59.8 56.8
Kenna Gibson - 13 18.5 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.8 6.8 4.8 55 2.8 32.9 37.1 33.3 89.5 2.23 51.4 46.6
Laura Jones - 14 14.3 6.2 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.1 5.2 2.5 95 5.0 77.2 43.8 47.1 46.7 2.02 54.6 54.8
Branasia Brazelton - 14 22.6 5.1 3.4 1.8 1.5 0.2 1.3 4.5 6.2 53 2.6 32.0 38.1 7.1 67.6 0.16 46.2 38.9
Yasmine Aly - 13 15.0 4.8 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.2 6.0 0.4 18 1.2 12.7 29.5 22.4 62.5 -2.86 38.0 36.5
Nora Aigberadion - 13 15.7 3.3 2.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 3.5 2.4 -35 -1.8 -41.9 37.0 0 69.2 -2.36 41.6 37.0
Olivia Shook - 5 8.1 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.6 -1.2 - - - 15.4 25.0 60.0 -0.45 29.6 23.1
Kayla Barnett - 7 7.1 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.0 -34 -4.2 -78.5 25.0 0.0 50.0 -3.0 36.3 25.0
Madison Stewart - 6 5.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.7 -0.3 -44 -8.8 -97.5 25.0 0.0 66.7 -5.02 37.6 25.0
Nora Aigberadion - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -35 -1.8 -41.9 0 0 0 -2.36 0 0
Aundrea Boston - 1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -110 -10.0 -31.7 0 0 0 0.03 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG