St. Thomas (FL)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#167) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1108 (#126) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1042 (#207) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.3 (#106) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.7 (#304) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.216 (#575) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.385 (#420) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.375 (#419) | AdjNet -4.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.435 (#414) | AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.652 (#178) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.662 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.661 (#252) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1097 (#167) | RD 103 | GP 22 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | @ | Dallas | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2018-11-16 | @ | George Fox | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2018-11-17 | vs | Lewis & Clark | W | 76 - 43 |
| 2018-11-25 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | W | 70 - 49 |
| 2018-11-28 | @ | UW-River Falls | W | 89 - 42 |
| 2018-12-01 | vs | St. Catherine | W | 82 - 66 |
| 2018-12-05 | @ | Bethel (MN) | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Carleton | W | 92 - 30 |
| 2018-12-12 | @ | Concordia-M'head | W | 73 - 49 |
| 2018-12-16 | vs | Trinity (TX) | W | 92 - 50 |
| 2018-12-29 | @ | WashU | W | 66 - 36 |
| 2018-12-30 | @ | Wartburg | L | 40 - 60 |
| 2019-01-02 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Hamline | W | 67 - 46 |
| 2019-01-09 | @ | St. Catherine | W | 66 - 50 |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Augsburg | W | 49 - 34 |
| 2019-01-16 | vs | Bethel (MN) | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2019-01-19 | vs | Saint Mary's (MN) | W | 68 - 41 |
| 2019-01-23 | vs | Concordia-M'head | W | 80 - 41 |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Carleton | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-31 | @ | Macalester | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Hamline | W | 81 - 49 |
| 2019-02-06 | vs | St. Olaf | W | 90 - 49 |
| 2019-02-09 | vs | Augsburg | W | 83 - 68 |
| 2019-02-13 | vs | Saint Benedict | W | 90 - 31 |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | W | 76 - 55 |
| 2019-02-21 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | W | 64 - 39 |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Augsburg | W | 73 - 54 |
| 2019-03-01 | vs | Ripon | W | 88 - 58 |
| 2019-03-02 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2019-03-08 | vs | Amherst | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2019-03-09 | vs | Wartburg | W | 85 - 56 |
| 2019-03-15 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 60 - 71 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.