St. Scholastica
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 792 (#354) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 856 (#304) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 798 (#756) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.6 (#297) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -28.3 (#747) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.122 (#382) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.118 (#309) | AdjNet -17.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.111 (#309) | AdjNet -17.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.231 (#312) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 82.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.169 (#760) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 84.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.107 (#747) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.107 (#750) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 713 (#609) | RD 143 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Carleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Augsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Saint John's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Bethel (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | W | 92 - 77 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 65 - 124 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Concordia-M'head | L | 74 - 87 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.