St. Scholastica
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 888 (#548) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 920 (#463) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 798 (#756) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.9 (#256) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -28.3 (#747) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.122 (#720) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.118 (#622) | AdjNet -17.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.111 (#622) | AdjNet -17.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.231 (#622) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 82.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.169 (#760) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 84.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.106 (#747) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.107 (#750) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 717 (#616) | RD 144 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 56 - 92 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Carleton | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Augsburg | L | 70 - 95 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Saint John's (MN) | L | 69 - 102 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Macalester | L | 77 - 87 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Bethel (MN) | L | 70 - 85 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Butler | - | 6 | 34.6 | 16.2 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.2 | 8.5 | -162 | -7.4 | -33.5 | 38.8 | 30.0 | 95.0 | -0.27 | 51.7 | 45.9 |
| Koy Nelson | - | 6 | 31.1 | 13.0 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.8 | 5.3 | -173 | -7.9 | -37.7 | 42.3 | 20.0 | 66.7 | -4.1 | 49.4 | 46.5 |
| Jayden Brown | - | 6 | 30.3 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 10.3 | 6.2 | -99 | -3.0 | -175.1 | 43.5 | 38.7 | 90.9 | -1.73 | 56.9 | 53.2 |
| Aaron Keykal | - | 6 | 25.6 | 8.3 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 9.7 | -29 | -1.6 | -7.2 | 54.8 | 0 | 44.4 | -1.98 | 54.4 | 54.8 |
| Hayden Kloos | - | 6 | 26.7 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 4.0 | -155 | -7.4 | -42.6 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.05 | 46.2 | 44.3 |
| Nebiyu Teklemariam | - | 6 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | -64 | -3.0 | -35.8 | 37.5 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -0.95 | 43.2 | 41.7 |
| Carlos Johnson | - | 6 | 14.2 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 3.0 | -19 | -2.1 | -11.7 | 27.3 | 8.3 | 75.0 | 1.14 | 31.6 | 28.8 |
| Paul Harris | - | 6 | 13.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.2 | -0.2 | -63 | -3.5 | -33.7 | 24.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.05 | 29.0 | 26.0 |
| Drelyn Jones | - | 4 | 13.7 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 | -36 | -2.2 | -20.9 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -1.21 | 46.5 | 38.9 |
| Owen Larsen | - | 1 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -34 | -5.7 | -165.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.03 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG