St. Norbert
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1210 (#46) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1143 (#91) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1048 (#180) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#105) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.6 (#374) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.720 (#81) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.580 (#86) | AdjNet +2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.575 (#84) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.529 (#90) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.590 (#228) | AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.546 (#363) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.558 (#353) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1047 (#293) | RD 161 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Rockford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Concordia Chicago | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Edgewood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Lakeland | W | 87 - 76 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Aurora | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | MSOE | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 87 - 49 |
| 2026-02-24 | vs | Rockford | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Aurora | L | 59 - 65 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.