St. Mary's (TX)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1055 (#169) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.9 (#261) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.119 (#622) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.181 (#498) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.172 (#495) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.301 (#503) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.725 (#102) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.677 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.692 (#222) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1057 (#245) | RD 122 | GP 9 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-09 | @ | Earlham | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2019-11-09 | vs | Widener | L | 43 - 72 |
| 2019-11-10 | vs | Drew | L | 52 - 88 |
| 2019-11-12 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2019-11-15 | @ | Hanover | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2019-11-16 | vs | Finlandia | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2019-11-19 | vs | Catholic | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2019-11-20 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 52 - 56 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | Defiance | W | 56 - 53 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 60 - 96 |
| 2019-11-24 | vs | Averett | L | 63 - 77 |
| 2019-11-27 | @ | North Park | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2019-12-01 | @ | Goucher | L | 52 - 64 |
| 2019-12-04 | vs | Alma | W | 55 - 51 |
| 2019-12-07 | vs | Trine | L | 48 - 97 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ | Lehman | W | 58 - 40 |
| 2019-12-11 | @ | Ind.-South Bend | L | 44 - 79 |
| 2019-12-11 | vs | Wesley | W | 50 - 46 |
| 2019-12-14 | @ | Adrian | W | 64 - 41 |
| 2019-12-15 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 45 - 43 |
| 2019-12-21 | vs | Dominican (IL) | L | 49 - 61 |
| 2020-01-03 | vs | Concordia Chicago | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2020-01-04 | vs | Olivet | W | 60 - 50 |
| 2020-01-04 | vs | Susquehanna | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2020-01-07 | @ | Randolph | L | 41 - 65 |
| 2020-01-08 | @ | Mary Baldwin | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | Mary Washington | L | 33 - 61 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | Calvin | L | 43 - 65 |
| 2020-01-15 | @ | York (PA) | L | 53 - 80 |
| 2020-01-15 | @ | Trine | L | 37 - 66 |
| 2020-01-18 | @ | Salisbury | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | Hope | L | 41 - 76 |
| 2020-01-22 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2020-01-25 | vs | Southern Va. | L | 59 - 85 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ | Albion | L | 41 - 89 |
| 2020-01-29 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 51 - 99 |
| 2020-01-29 | vs | Adrian | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | Salisbury | L | 59 - 93 |
| 2020-02-04 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2020-02-05 | vs | Calvin | L | 51 - 57 |
| 2020-02-08 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 46 - 72 |
| 2020-02-08 | @ | Alma | L | 50 - 59 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 49 - 89 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ | Hope | L | 43 - 69 |
| 2020-02-15 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 52 - 76 |
| 2020-02-15 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2020-02-19 | vs | York (PA) | L | 67 - 103 |
| 2020-02-19 | vs | Albion | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ | York (PA) | L | 58 - 79 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ | Olivet | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2020-02-26 | @ | Albion | L | 57 - 71 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.