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St. Mary's (TX)

Also known as: St. Mary's (TX)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1055 (#169) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +5.9 (#261) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.119 (#622) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.1 More → 0.181 (#498) AdjNet -13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.3 More → 0.172 (#495) AdjNet -13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.301 (#503) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 54.8 More → 0.725 (#102) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 54.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.677 (#236) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.692 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 9 More → 1057 (#245) RD 122 | GP 9

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-09 vs Mary Baldwin L 70 - 81
2018-11-10 vs Earlham W 65 - 52
2018-11-11 @ Widener - Preview
2018-11-13 @ Illinois Tech W 66 - 33
2018-11-16 @ Wis. Lutheran L 36 - 67
2018-11-16 vs Randolph W 51 - 49
2018-11-17 vs Bridgewater (VA) L 70 - 74
2018-11-17 @ Wis.-La Crosse L 36 - 59
2018-11-20 @ Anderson (IN) L 67 - 78
2018-11-20 @ Catholic L 44 - 72
2018-11-28 @ Dominican (IL) L 58 - 60
2018-12-01 vs Salisbury L 51 - 59
2018-12-01 vs Calvin L 54 - 62
2018-12-05 @ Albion - Preview
2018-12-06 @ Randolph-Macon - Preview
2018-12-08 vs Gallaudet W 72 - 70
2018-12-08 vs Adrian W 71 - 56
2018-12-15 @ Alma W 72 - 66
2018-12-15 @ East. Mennonite - Preview
2018-12-17 vs N.C. Wesleyan W 75 - 64
2018-12-17 vs Ind.-South Bend L 48 - 74
2018-12-19 vs North Park W 57 - 53
2018-12-29 @ Webster L 49 - 70
2018-12-29 @ Immaculata W 59 - 53
2018-12-30 vs Suffolk L 47 - 66
2019-01-02 @ Olivet W 67 - 57
2019-01-05 vs Frostburg St. L 55 - 60
2019-01-09 @ Chris. Newport L 59 - 103
2019-01-09 vs Kalamazoo W 70 - 48
2019-01-12 @ York (PA) L 53 - 61
2019-01-12 vs Trine L 47 - 84
2019-01-16 @ Hope L 44 - 93
2019-01-16 vs Mary Washington L 60 - 65
2019-01-19 @ Calvin W 76 - 69
2019-01-19 vs Southern Va. L 65 - 79
2019-01-23 @ Penn St. Harrisburg W 66 - 50
2019-01-23 @ Adrian L 51 - 60
2019-01-26 vs Olivet W 53 - 49
2019-01-26 @ Salisbury L 25 - 53
2019-01-30 vs Chris. Newport L 55 - 65
2019-02-02 @ Kalamazoo W 68 - 50
2019-02-02 @ Frostburg St. L 49 - 79
2019-02-06 @ Trine L 55 - 69
2019-02-06 @ Mary Washington W 48 - 34
2019-02-09 vs York (PA) W 81 - 78
2019-02-09 vs Hope L 37 - 73
2019-02-13 vs Penn St. Harrisburg L 62 - 79
2019-02-13 vs Alma L 49 - 65
2019-02-16 vs Albion L 58 - 71
2019-02-16 @ Southern Va. L 61 - 66
2019-02-19 @ Chris. Newport L 60 - 86
2019-02-19 @ Albion - Preview
2019-02-22 @ Hope L 36 - 75

2019 Roster

No roster data available for this season.