St. Mary's (TX)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1055 (#169) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.9 (#261) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.119 (#622) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.181 (#498) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.172 (#495) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.301 (#503) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.725 (#102) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.677 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.692 (#222) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1057 (#245) | RD 122 | GP 9 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-15 | vs | North Park | L | 38 - 84 |
| 2016-11-15 | @ | Catholic | L | 37 - 77 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2016-11-18 | @ | Manchester | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Messiah | L | 43 - 74 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Oglethorpe | - | Preview |
| 2016-11-22 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2016-11-30 | @ | Salisbury | L | 36 - 72 |
| 2016-11-30 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | L | 58 - 87 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 46 - 74 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Albion | L | 48 - 81 |
| 2016-12-05 | vs | Shenandoah | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2016-12-07 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 39 - 57 |
| 2016-12-07 | vs | Trine | L | 34 - 83 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Calvin | L | 37 - 82 |
| 2016-12-17 | @ | Washington Col. | L | 45 - 54 |
| 2016-12-17 | @ | Adrian | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2016-12-20 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 31 - 81 |
| 2016-12-20 | vs | Illinois Col. | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2016-12-21 | @ | Grove City | L | 47 - 58 |
| 2016-12-21 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 42 - 66 |
| 2016-12-30 | @ | Millikin | L | 44 - 84 |
| 2017-01-04 | @ | Frostburg St. | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2017-01-04 | @ | Kalamazoo | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Alma | L | 41 - 84 |
| 2017-01-08 | @ | Wesley | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2017-01-11 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 44 - 80 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Southern Va. | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Hope | L | 49 - 101 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | York (PA) | L | 50 - 77 |
| 2017-01-18 | @ | Olivet | L | 49 - 63 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 53 - 56 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Albion | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2017-01-25 | @ | Trine | L | 42 - 103 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | Wesley | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Calvin | L | 49 - 84 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Marymount (VA) | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | York (PA) | L | 42 - 66 |
| 2017-02-01 | vs | Adrian | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 62 - 47 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Mary Washington | L | 49 - 77 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Alma | L | 50 - 62 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Frostburg St. | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2017-02-15 | vs | Salisbury | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2017-02-15 | @ | Hope | L | 48 - 81 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Olivet | L | 44 - 55 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 50 - 70 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.