St. Mary's (TX)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1055 (#169) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.9 (#261) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.119 (#622) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.181 (#498) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.172 (#495) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.301 (#503) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.725 (#102) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.677 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.692 (#222) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1057 (#245) | RD 122 | GP 9 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | vs | Oglethorpe | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | FDU-Florham | L | 55 - 99 |
| 2015-11-17 | vs | Randolph | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2015-11-17 | @ | North Park | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2015-11-20 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-24 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | Holy Cross (IN) | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-30 | @ | Olivet | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | L | 36 - 48 |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Mary Washington | L | 45 - 67 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Calvin | L | 45 - 91 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Wesley | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-08 | vs | Catholic | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2015-12-09 | vs | Alma | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 47 - 52 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Trine | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | Washington Col. | L | 50 - 55 |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | Millikin | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ | Otterbein | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-29 | vs | North Central (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-30 | vs | Marymount (VA) | L | 35 - 52 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Salisbury | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-04 | @ | McDaniel | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2016-01-06 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 79 - 92 |
| 2016-01-06 | vs | Hope | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Adrian | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Frostburg St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-13 | vs | York (PA) | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ | Kalamazoo | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2016-01-20 | vs | Albion | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2016-01-20 | vs | Chris. Newport | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Olivet | L | 49 - 52 |
| 2016-01-27 | vs | Calvin | L | 57 - 81 |
| 2016-01-27 | vs | Salisbury | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Alma | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Southern Va. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-01 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 30 - 52 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 36 - 60 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Trine | L | 51 - 68 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Hope | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-10 | vs | Adrian | L | 43 - 59 |
| 2016-02-10 | @ | York (PA) | L | 48 - 54 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Kalamazoo | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-17 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Albion | L | 51 - 75 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Wesley | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2016-02-23 | @ | Mary Washington | L | 48 - 78 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.