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St. Mary's (TX)

Also known as: St. Mary's (TX)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1055 (#169) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +5.9 (#261) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.119 (#622) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.1 More → 0.181 (#498) AdjNet -13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.3 More → 0.172 (#495) AdjNet -13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.301 (#503) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 54.8 More → 0.725 (#102) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 54.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.677 (#236) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.692 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 9 More → 1057 (#245) RD 122 | GP 9

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Adrian - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 @ Penn College - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Albion - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Calvin - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Keystone - Incomplete score
2026-02-02 vs Penn St. Harrisburg - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Notre Dame (MD) - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Kalamazoo - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Valley Forge - Incomplete score
2026-02-11 vs Trine L 40 - 88
2026-02-15 @ Alma L 50 - 80
2026-02-18 vs Kalamazoo W 65 - 60
2026-02-21 @ Olivet L 63 - 68

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Olivia Liszt - 5 28.0 17.0 5.2 2.2 3.8 0.4 2.0 10.8 15.8 283 14.2 115.0 59.3 47.1 81.2 3.26 69.6 66.7
Keira Mason - 5 23.9 13.0 8.4 1.0 1.4 0.8 4.0 10.4 10.2 241 12.1 116.1 51.9 0 64.7 1.24 54.6 51.9
Tramarie Mobray - 5 22.0 11.2 3.2 4.2 2.8 0.2 2.0 8.0 11.6 189 9.4 97.2 52.5 33.3 75.0 1.27 59.5 55.0
Hannah Outlaw - 7 22.4 8.4 4.4 1.7 1.4 0.7 1.9 7.1 7.7 - - - 40.0 14.3 56.2 0.54 46.0 41.0
Saffiyah Gibson - 5 9.4 8.0 1.2 0.8 1.8 0.4 1.0 4.4 6.8 160 8.0 161.3 63.6 33.3 71.4 2.26 71.0 68.2
Sam Blaylock - 1 12.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 -3 -3.0 -18.0 50.0 50.0 0 0.91 66.7 66.7
Rayna Miller - 5 22.6 7.4 4.0 1.6 1.4 0.4 1.2 5.2 8.4 115 5.8 55.5 61.5 0 50.0 -4.24 60.9 61.5
Liv Fry - 7 26.2 6.9 4.7 2.4 2.1 0.3 4.0 5.3 7.1 - - - 37.8 40.0 60.9 -0.14 50.9 45.9
Ella Notaro - 6 22.6 6.5 2.2 0.3 1.2 0.2 3.0 6.0 1.3 - - - 36.1 0.0 61.9 1.81 43.1 36.1
Ella Andree - 6 19.9 6.5 3.0 0.5 2.0 0.5 2.2 5.5 4.8 - - - 45.5 40.0 83.3 -2.21 54.7 51.5
Kate Restovich - 7 26.7 6.4 2.3 0.7 0.9 0.1 2.0 6.9 1.6 - - - 25.0 17.4 81.0 1.62 39.3 29.2
Annie Restovich - 7 26.5 6.3 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.4 6.9 0.6 - - - 27.1 21.6 71.4 -2.14 40.6 35.4
Samantha Blaylock - 4 10.4 6.2 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.2 5.8 2.8 129 6.8 134.0 34.8 36.8 100.0 0.91 52.3 50.0
Kate Passinault - 7 16.6 5.3 3.7 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.6 5.7 4.1 - - - 32.5 35.7 46.2 -1.96 40.5 38.8
Skylar Woodyard - 5 13.0 4.4 2.2 0.2 1.6 0.0 1.2 3.4 3.8 67 4.5 57.2 52.9 50.0 33.3 -0.98 56.0 58.8
Ji-Young Hartman - 5 7.5 3.4 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.6 4.4 0.2 64 6.4 73.2 31.8 23.1 0 - 38.6 38.6
London Best - 5 15.4 3.0 2.0 2.2 1.6 0.2 1.2 2.4 5.4 180 9.0 115.2 41.7 0.0 71.4 3.66 49.7 41.7
Caroline Langworthy - 5 8.7 2.8 1.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.6 - - - 33.3 28.6 50.0 -0.79 41.8 40.0
Nicole Connolly - 7 15.3 2.7 2.6 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.9 3.9 1.6 - - - 29.6 15.4 50.0 2.62 34.1 33.3
Halimah Hajhassan - 5 15.1 2.4 3.4 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.0 152 7.6 84.4 21.1 0.0 57.1 2.36 27.2 21.1
Sidney Shaw - 5 10.9 2.0 1.0 1.8 0.6 0.6 1.0 2.2 2.8 123 6.5 143.3 36.4 0.0 100.0 1.4 42.1 36.4
Kenadie Schrock - 5 4.5 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.2 37 2.5 11.3 50.0 33.3 0 -0.31 58.3 58.3
Kori Dues - 4 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 -0.79 62.5 62.5
Alyssa Matuza - 7 12.7 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.7 - - - 20.0 25.0 33.3 0.56 31.6 30.0
Chloe Stanford - 4 3.2 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 18 2.0 55.5 100.0 0 0 -2.47 100.0 100.0
Gabby Webb - 5 4.4 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.8 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 -0.18 51.5 33.3
Emma Fonke - 3 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 20 2.2 119.7 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Marley Saunders - 5 16.9 0.4 1.6 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.2 3.6 0.4 131 9.4 85.8 5.6 0.0 0 3.52 5.6 5.6
Karina Peppler - 5 1.5 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Cara Kucharski - 5 1.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Josey Cook - 1 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 1.0 39.1 0 0 0 0.27 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG