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St. Mary's (TX) Rattlers

Season: 2022 2018 2010 2005
Also known as: St. Mary's (TX) Rattlers
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 901 (#667) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 866 (#713) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 992 (#435) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +8.3 (#417) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -2.9 (#387) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.479 (#324) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.409 (#384) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.418 (#374) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 886 (#505) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-27 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 73 - 88
2021-11-29 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 65 - 75

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caleb Jordan Caleb Jordan G 2 33.0 17.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 20.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
Mamady Djikine Mamady Djikine F 2 27.5 14.0 5.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 2.5 0.0 22.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
C.J. Washington C.J. Washington G 2 26.0 11.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 15.0 67 2.4 4.2 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
K. Magee K. Magee G 2 30.5 10.5 4.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 19.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0
Emmanuel Ewuzie Emmanuel Ewuzie F 2 23.0 7.0 7.5 0.0 2.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 16.5 - - - 0 0 0 0.16 0 0
Jaron Presley Jaron Presley G 2 11.5 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
J. Brewer J. Brewer F 1 17.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
Jaden Moore Jaden Moore G 2 9.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 -48 -1.9 -8.5 0 0 0 1.7 0 0
Luke Schultz Luke Schultz F 2 12.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 6.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
Parker Gettys Parker Gettys G 2 12.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Leonard Ryan Leonard G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - -0.0 - -
Brian Luis Brian Luis G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
K. Schubert K. Schubert G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tyler Gertson Tyler Gertson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ryan Salinas Ryan Salinas G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Haik Tatevosyan Haik Tatevosyan G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
T. Benavides T. Benavides - 2 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG