St. Mary's (IN)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 885 (#424) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 935 (#418) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1055 (#169) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.3 (#195) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.9 (#261) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.119 (#622) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.223 (#441) | NetEff -10.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.181 (#498) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.172 (#495) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.301 (#503) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.725 (#102) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.677 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.692 (#222) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1053 (#251) | RD 122 | GP 9 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Adrian | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Penn College | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Albion | L | 56 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Calvin | L | 41 - 74 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Keystone | W | 92 - 28 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 78 - 47 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Kalamazoo | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Valley Forge | W | 100 - 15 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Liszt | - | 5 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 10.8 | 15.8 | 283 | 14.2 | 115.0 | 59.3 | 47.1 | 81.2 | 4.8 | 69.6 | 66.7 |
| Keira Mason | - | 5 | 23.9 | 13.0 | 8.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 241 | 12.1 | 116.1 | 51.9 | 0 | 64.7 | 2.09 | 54.6 | 51.9 |
| Tramarie Mobray | - | 5 | 22.0 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 11.6 | 189 | 9.4 | 97.2 | 52.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 2.82 | 59.5 | 55.0 |
| Liv Fry | - | 4 | 24.5 | 8.2 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 9.2 | - | - | - | 47.4 | 57.1 | 57.9 | - | 60.3 | 57.9 |
| Sam Blaylock | - | 1 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -18.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Saffiyah Gibson | - | 5 | 9.4 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 6.8 | 160 | 8.0 | 161.3 | 63.6 | 33.3 | 71.4 | 0.87 | 71.0 | 68.2 |
| Kate Restovich | - | 4 | 26.2 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.8 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 29.6 | 27.3 | 80.0 | - | 46.1 | 35.2 |
| Ella Andree | - | 4 | 19.9 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 7.2 | - | - | - | 47.8 | 50.0 | 83.3 | - | 58.5 | 54.3 |
| Rayna Miller | - | 5 | 22.6 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 115 | 5.8 | 55.5 | 61.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.32 | 60.9 | 61.5 |
| Ella Notaro | - | 4 | 21.8 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 0.0 | 46.2 | - | 41.5 | 39.3 |
| Hannah Outlaw | - | 4 | 22.9 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 7.8 | - | - | - | 39.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 44.9 | 41.3 |
| Annie Restovich | - | 4 | 28.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.8 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 29.0 | 25.9 | 25.0 | - | 39.7 | 40.3 |
| Samantha Blaylock | - | 4 | 10.4 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 129 | 6.8 | 134.0 | 34.8 | 36.8 | 100.0 | 1.46 | 52.3 | 50.0 |
| Skylar Woodyard | - | 5 | 13.0 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 67 | 4.5 | 57.2 | 52.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 1.45 | 56.0 | 58.8 |
| Ji-Young Hartman | - | 5 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 64 | 6.4 | 73.2 | 31.8 | 23.1 | 0 | 1.63 | 38.6 | 38.6 |
| Kate Passinault | - | 4 | 16.3 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 21.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 25.4 | 21.7 |
| London Best | - | 5 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 5.4 | 180 | 9.0 | 115.2 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 3.44 | 49.7 | 41.7 |
| Halimah Hajhassan | - | 5 | 15.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 152 | 7.6 | 84.4 | 21.1 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.43 | 27.2 | 21.1 |
| Nicole Connolly | - | 4 | 13.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 21.4 | 14.3 | 50.0 | - | 26.9 | 25.0 |
| Sidney Shaw | - | 5 | 10.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 123 | 6.5 | 143.3 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.73 | 42.1 | 36.4 |
| Alyssa Matuza | - | 4 | 12.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.3 | - | 32.7 | 30.0 |
| Caroline Langworthy | - | 3 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Gabby Webb | - | 4 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Kenadie Schrock | - | 3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 37 | 2.5 | 11.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.79 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Chloe Stanford | - | 4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 18 | 2.0 | 55.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kori Dues | - | 3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Emma Fonke | - | 3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 20 | 2.2 | 119.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.65 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Marley Saunders | - | 5 | 16.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 131 | 9.4 | 85.8 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Karina Peppler | - | 3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cara Kucharski | - | 3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Josey Cook | - | 1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 1.0 | 39.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG