St. John Fisher Cardinals
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 990 (#392) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 865 (#708) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.9 (#287) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.9 (#654) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.456 (#496) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.973 (#6) | NetEff +30.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#531) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.203 (#532) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.302 (#543) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.308 (#661) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.224 (#642) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.226 (#650) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 825 (#535) | RD 143 | GP 8 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Hartwick | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Russell Sage | L | 70 - 85 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Nazareth | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | SUNY Poly | L | 56 - 78 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Utica | L | 73 - 80 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | SUNY Brockport | L | 85 - 94 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximus Michalski | - | 7 | 26.4 | 11.6 | 7.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 9.6 | 10.7 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 46.3 | 0 | 43.2 | -0.51 | 46.9 | 46.3 |
| Andrew Violante | - | 7 | 26.6 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 47.6 | 31.6 | 68.2 | -1.69 | 55.7 | 52.4 |
| Mekhi Gidney | - | 7 | 19.3 | 9.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 3.1 | -12 | -0.6 | -3.7 | 37.7 | 33.3 | 86.4 | -1.46 | 52.6 | 44.3 |
| Alex Hayes | - | 7 | 20.3 | 9.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 4.9 | -60 | -2.7 | -17.2 | 41.7 | 37.5 | 88.2 | -0.18 | 57.7 | 51.0 |
| Max Schneider | - | 7 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 42.1 | 36.8 | 100.0 | 0.54 | 53.4 | 51.3 |
| Jack Janes | - | 7 | 14.8 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 2.7 | -40 | -1.8 | -11.9 | 39.0 | 27.3 | 33.3 | -2.44 | 46.1 | 46.3 |
| Jonathan McCaffrey | - | 7 | 24.2 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 7.3 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 36.8 | 40.0 | 55.6 | 0.51 | 44.1 | 42.1 |
| Giovanni Schillaci | - | 6 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 1.5 | -54 | -2.7 | -20.5 | 38.5 | 42.1 | 0 | -1.54 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Christian Daley | - | 2 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| Louis Fay | - | 7 | 12.0 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 36 | 1.8 | 12.4 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -0.25 | 41.0 | 22.2 |
| Kurt Redeker | - | 5 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 20 | 1.4 | 16.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.3 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Alex Girich | - | 4 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | -23 | -1.9 | -37.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.35 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Kyler Proper | - | 5 | 9.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | -21 | -1.2 | -12.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -2.56 | 39.9 | 0.0 |
| Carson Kwiatkowski | - | 5 | 8.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | -15 | -1.1 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.34 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
| Frederick Graewert | - | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -1.7 | -70.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.93 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Minnehan | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG