St. John Fisher Cardinals
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 990 (#392) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 865 (#708) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.9 (#287) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.9 (#654) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.456 (#496) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.973 (#6) | NetEff +30.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#531) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.203 (#532) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.302 (#543) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.308 (#661) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.224 (#642) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.226 (#650) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 837 (#511) | RD 138 | GP 7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 65 - 89 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Hobart | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 70 - 83 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | RIT | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Union (NY) | W | 92 - 90 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Hamilton | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 58 - 56 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Plesser | - | 1 | 39.0 | 35.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | -97 | -4.8 | -22.7 | 70.6 | 66.7 | 81.8 | 0.2 | 80.1 | 76.5 |
| Aidan Rodgers | - | 1 | 35.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 29 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 63.6 | 100.0 | 85.7 | 0.96 | 74.6 | 68.2 |
| Alec Tabada | - | 1 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | -24 | -2.7 | -8.6 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.08 | 54.7 | 46.2 |
| Hank Morgan | - | 1 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 56 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 53.8 | 25.0 | 0 | 1.28 | 57.7 | 57.7 |
| Matthew Rideout | - | 1 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | -17 | -0.9 | -5.1 | 54.5 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.4 | 59.1 | 59.1 |
| Sam Petrarca | - | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | -33 | -3.7 | -15.1 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0.18 | 74.2 | 71.4 |
| Garret Keyhani | - | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 54 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 57.1 | 0 | 80.0 | 0.85 | 65.2 | 57.1 |
| Tommy DiRienzo | - | 1 | 36.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -87 | -5.4 | -10.5 | 27.3 | 22.2 | 100.0 | -0.47 | 47.0 | 36.4 |
| Carter Meshanic | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 22 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 55.6 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.9 | 53.3 | 55.6 |
| Christian Dufort | - | 1 | 35.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 28.6 | 100.0 | - | 52.7 | 50.0 |
| Brendan Reid | - | 1 | 36.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -37 | -4.1 | -8.6 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.56 | 69.8 | 64.3 |
| Alex Moesch | - | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 60 | 3.5 | 7.9 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.43 | 60.1 | 57.1 |
| Mason Blankenberg | - | 1 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | -64 | -4.3 | -9.4 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 0.48 | 38.8 | 37.5 |
| Matthew Garside | - | 1 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -50 | -2.6 | -9.9 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.38 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Graham Robinson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 102 | 7.8 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 1.42 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Spencer Malloy | - | 1 | 36.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | -6 | -1.2 | -4.6 | 27.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.02 | 33.7 | 31.8 |
| UNKNOWN Malloy | - | 1 | 36.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | -12 | -4.0 | -7.7 | 27.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 33.7 | 31.8 |
| Aren Cummings | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Justin Forest | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -27 | -3.9 | -30.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.23 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Allen Mordi | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 83 | 5.5 | 17.4 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.71 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Monty Nedd | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 74 | 6.2 | 35.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.23 | 48.4 | 50.0 |
| Justin Price | - | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 54 | 5.4 | 82.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Will Holmes | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -24 | -3.0 | -111.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.67 | 56.4 | 50.0 |
| Teja Singh | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | -2.0 | 39 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 1.33 | 30.4 | 27.8 |
| Nate Edwards | - | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -14 | -0.8 | -2.3 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 0 | 1.26 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Michael Sopko | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -12 | -1.1 | -2.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.08 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Justin Turner | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -39 | -3.2 | -22.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.05 | 42.0 | 0.0 |
| Niko Lutz | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -6 | -1.5 | -9.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.22 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dorian Paki | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 38 | 2.9 | 18.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jalen Reese | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -47 | -3.1 | -12.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Isaac DeGregorio | - | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -31 | -3.1 | -25.9 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Matthew Coletti | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -6 | -0.9 | -10.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ryan McNeely | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -10 | -1.7 | -8.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Matthew McDonough | - | 1 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -29 | -1.4 | -3.4 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.73 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| James Wesling | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -12 | -1.5 | -17.5 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.16 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| AJ Esposito | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -108 | -6.0 | -142.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Neil Daterao | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Jaden Jauregui | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -4.0 | -35 | -2.7 | -7.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.37 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Owen Kane | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 34 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Nate Raub | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | -14 | -0.9 | -8.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.04 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Thomas Bell | - | 1 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -11 | -2.8 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Omar Kulenovic | - | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -17 | -1.7 | -58.6 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.56 | 37.9 | 0 |
| Tyson Totten | - | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Anthony Todd | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -41 | -2.7 | -67.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel Bergeron | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 46 | 5.8 | 183.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Hanna | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -5.0 | -342.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.49 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashton Khoorchard | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -5.0 | -342.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.49 | 0 | 0 |
| Hunter Meshanic | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 21 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaymon Pysnack | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -1.7 | -108.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jean Marc Togodgue | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -31.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Axel Traina | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 64.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Cain | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -38 | -3.8 | -403.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max Freishtat | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Connor Jenkins | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sharif Nelson | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jack Stowell | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -38 | -3.2 | -125.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.52 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cooper Xu | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.7 | -17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Derek Galla | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG