St. John Fisher Cardinals
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 990 (#392) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 865 (#708) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.9 (#287) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.9 (#654) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.456 (#496) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.973 (#6) | NetEff +30.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#531) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.203 (#532) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.302 (#543) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.308 (#661) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.223 (#642) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.226 (#650) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 837 (#519) | RD 138 | GP 7 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-08 | @ | Hobart | L | 65 - 88 |
| 2022-11-11 | vs | Pfeiffer | W | 79 - 74 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2022-11-17 | vs | Rochester (NY) | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | RIT | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2022-12-02 | vs | Alfred | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2022-12-03 | vs | Elmira | W | 102 - 76 |
| 2022-12-06 | @ | Buffalo | L | 53 - 91 |
| 2022-12-29 | @ | Misericordia | W | 84 - 82 |
| 2022-12-30 | vs | SUNY Canton | W | 96 - 74 |
| 2023-01-03 | @ | Utica | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2023-01-06 | @ | Houghton | W | 91 - 56 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Medaille | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2023-01-10 | vs | Keuka | W | 101 - 89 |
| 2023-01-20 | vs | Hartwick | W | 100 - 67 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Russell Sage | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2023-01-24 | vs | Nazareth | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2023-01-27 | @ | Elmira | W | 96 - 73 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ | Alfred | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2023-01-31 | @ | Keuka | W | 88 - 63 |
| 2023-02-03 | vs | Medaille | W | 86 - 65 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Houghton | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2023-02-07 | vs | Utica | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Nazareth | L | 88 - 94 |
| 2023-02-17 | @ | Russell Sage | W | 93 - 66 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | Hartwick | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2023-02-21 | vs | Hartwick | W | 103 - 54 |
| 2023-02-24 | @ | Utica | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ | Nazareth | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2023-03-03 | vs | Whitworth | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2023-03-04 | vs | Swarthmore | L | 78 - 101 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.