St. John Fisher Cardinals
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 990 (#392) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 865 (#708) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.9 (#287) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.9 (#654) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.456 (#496) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.973 (#6) | NetEff +30.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#531) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.203 (#532) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.302 (#543) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.308 (#661) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.223 (#642) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.226 (#650) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 837 (#519) | RD 138 | GP 7 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-03 | @ | Houghton | W | 89 - 56 |
| 2021-03-05 | @ | Elmira | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2021-03-10 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 73 - 86 |
| 2021-03-14 | vs | Russell Sage | W | 100 - 68 |
| 2021-03-16 | @ | Nazareth | W | 83 - 62 |
| 2021-03-18 | @ | Utica | W | 85 - 69 |
| 2021-03-20 | vs | Alfred | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2021-03-23 | vs | Houghton | W | 85 - 64 |
| 2021-03-25 | @ | Keuka | W | 91 - 60 |
| 2021-03-26 | vs | Keuka | W | 79 - 48 |
| 2021-04-01 | vs | Nazareth | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2021-04-09 | vs | Russell Sage | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2021-04-11 | vs | Utica | L | 65 - 89 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.